New! Introducing The Learning Lab – a dedicated forecasting learning space for forecasters at all levels. Packed with mostly open-source tools, lessons, and resources, this lab is here to help refine predictive skills and boost forecasting accuracy. rangeforecasting.org

In this policy brief, Brandon Bohrn and I explore potential challenges Europe and Germany could face under a second #Trump term, focusing on #NATO and #security, #Ukraine, economic and #trade relations, #technology policy, and democracy.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/en/publication… via Bertelsmann Stiftung

The #USElection2024 next week sits on a knife's edge, with likely just tens of thousands of votes deciding the race in a few battleground states. Brandon Bohrn & Peter Walkenhorst consider what Trump 2.0 would mean for 🇪🇺 in five policy areas. Here's a🧵 (1/7)

Hier erörtern Brandon Bohrn & ich Herausforderungen, mit denen 🇪🇺 & 🇩🇪unter #Trump 2.0 in den Bereichen #NATO & #Sicherheit, #Ukraine , Wirtschafts- & Handelsbeziehungen, Technologiepolitik & #Demokratie konfrontiert sein könnten. bertelsmann-stiftung.de/de/publikation… via Bertelsmann Stiftung 👇

If Trump wins, the shock of his victory, and what it could entail for Ukraine, NATO & European security, means that you would need a German government that is willing & able to lead from popular consensus and a new mandate. Steven Erlanger nytimes.com/2024/11/02/wor…

What could a second Trump administration mean for Europe and Germany? Read the analysis by our Bertelsmann Stiftung colleagues Brandon Bohrn & Peter Walkenhorst, covering potential impacts on transatlantic relations, security, trade, and more : bertelsmann-stiftung.de/en/publication…

It's #ElectionDay in the #US. A 2nd #Trump term could bring profound changes for #Europe—especially #Germany. An aggressive, isolationist agenda would challenge European leaders. Read more from Brandon Bohrn & Peter Walkenhorst: globaleurope.eu/europes-future…

Donald Trump is expected to win the #USAElections2024, with only a narrow and unlikely path to victory for Kamala Harris remaining. Brandon Bohrn & Peter Walkenhorst break down what a second Trump presidency could mean for the #EU & #Germany. globaleurope.eu/europes-future…

„Es kommen härtere Tage. Die auf Widerruf gestundete Zeit wird sichtbar am Horizont.“ Ingeborg Bachmann #USAElection2024 #uswahl2024 #Trump

Wir müssen davon ausgehen, dass #Trump tut, was er angekündigt hat & es mit seiner Amtsübernahme keine 🇺🇸 Unterstützung für die 🇺🇦 mehr geben wird. Europa muss das dann übernehmen, um Sicherheit wiederherzustellen. Das ist ein Daseinszweck von Staaten. spiegel.de/politik/deutsc…

Die russische Führung freut sich auf den neuen US-Präsidenten. Trump dürfte Putin nicht nur im Ukrainekrieg behilflich sein, sondern auch bei der Spaltung Europas. trib.al/TtDgK6q

🇺🇸 A second Trump term could mean big shifts for Europe & Germany: weakened NATO ties, reduced Ukraine aid, trade tariffs & tech tensions with China. Read more from Brandon Bohrn & Peter Walkenhorst here⤵️ globaleurope.eu/europes-future…

With a 2nd #Trump presidency, Europe & Germany must brace for changes. Key areas impacted: NATO #security, #Ukraine support, #trade (#tariffs), tech policy (#China) & democracy (rise of illiberalism). Read more from Brandon Bohrn & Peter Walkenhorst here: globaleurope.eu/europes-future…

"Decapitation Strike: Preserving America from Trump's Appointments" See link in profile or image below.

Mich macht das, zu meinem eigenen Erstaunen, extrem wütend. Warum jetzt? Warum nicht viel früher? Wenn man sich dafür aussprach, wurde man als Kriegstreiber ohne Ahnung hingestellt. #Taurus tagesschau.de/ausland/biden-…

Everything that supposedly cannot be done is done after a long delay. All the pretended arguments suddenly don't apply after all. Many could still be alive, the situation would be much better if all weapons had been delivered to Ukraine straight away - without restrictions.

„If the U.S. Senate fails to reject many of Trump’s proposed, highly problematic candidates, what’s now considered farce may well turn into not just a national, but also a global tragedy“, arges Alexei Bayer in theglobalist.com/united-states-…