Fabian Hoffmann(@FRHoffmann1) 's Twitter Profileg
Fabian Hoffmann

@FRHoffmann1

Doctoral Research Fellow @NuclearOslo @UniOslo. Defense policy, missile technology, and nuclear strategy. Views are strictly my own. Speaks 🇬🇧🇩🇪🇫🇷.

ID:1117084283754225664

linkhttps://www.sv.uio.no/isv/english/people/aca/fabiah/index.html calendar_today13-04-2019 15:17:02

4,6K Tweets

30,4K Followers

1,0K Following

Uwe Bannow 🎗️(@UBannow) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A hint (for the 🇩🇪 government): Start looking in your own storages! There should still be a considerable number of (old, upgradable) Patriot launching units (LS), some engagement control stations (ECS) and also some antenna mast groups (AMG) - you took over from the 🇺🇸 /2

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Mauro Gilli(@Mauro_Gilli) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Escalation management is the opposite of strategy. Something we had known since at least Andrew Marshall 1972 RAND report

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Fabian Hoffmann(@FRHoffmann1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If you're too coward to send the missile systems directly, send the necessary components:

- BAE/Hensoldt: sensors
- TDW/SAAB: warheads
- Safran: turbojets
etc.

I don't care how it's done, but Ukraine must be able to produce missiles/long-range drones at scale and shoot back.

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Fabian Hoffmann(@FRHoffmann1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

At this stage of the war, state capacity is the crucial factor. We rightly commend 🇺🇦 for having found a way to undermine Russia's state capacity with indigenous long-range drones. But at the same time we are content to stand by and watch Ukraine's state capacity burn? 2/3

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Fabian Hoffmann(@FRHoffmann1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Let's face it, Ukraine's largest power station being permanently disabled is really bad. We are witnessing the failure of the appeasers and escalation managers' strategy in Ukraine.

Not providing Ukraine with the means to disable Russian launchers was never sustainable. 1/3

Let's face it, Ukraine's largest power station being permanently disabled is really bad. We are witnessing the failure of the appeasers and escalation managers' strategy in Ukraine. Not providing Ukraine with the means to disable Russian launchers was never sustainable. 1/3
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William Alberque(@walberque) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Fabian Hoffmann It's also completely consistent with Russia's defence doctrine and Putin's personal views - that nuclear weapons are the supreme guarantee of Russian security and that conventional weapons can never entirely replace nuclear weapons in Russian warfighting doctrine.

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Fabian Hoffmann(@FRHoffmann1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Given the context of Arrow 3 and past leaks, it is at least now plausible to consider that Scholz and his team may genuinely believe they can deny a Russian nuclear attack.

I'm just curious about the Air Force's perspective on all of this. They should theoretically know better.

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Fabian Hoffmann(@FRHoffmann1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Given the West's history of yielding to Russian coercive nuclear rhetoric in this war so far, this is of course entirely unsurprising. Why would Russia stop investing in one of its most effective tools?

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vitsche_berlin(@VitscheBerlin) 's Twitter Profile Photo

😱🔥Wir freuen uns sehr, bekannt geben zu können, dass wir mit eurer unglaublichen Unterstützung unser Spendenziel von 30.000 € übertroffen und dies in nur zwei Tagen erreicht haben! 1/11

😱🔥Wir freuen uns sehr, bekannt geben zu können, dass wir mit eurer unglaublichen Unterstützung unser Spendenziel von 30.000 € übertroffen und dies in nur zwei Tagen erreicht haben! 1/11
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Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧(@ColbyBadhwar) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🇩🇪🇺🇦🇷🇺 President Zelensky tells Bild that German Chancellor Scholz doesn't want to part with Taurus cruise missiles because he fears nuclear war with Russia.

Scholz, Sullivan, Biden, all of them are paralyzed in fear by Putin's nuclear threats.

🇩🇪🇺🇦🇷🇺 President Zelensky tells Bild that German Chancellor Scholz doesn't want to part with Taurus cruise missiles because he fears nuclear war with Russia. Scholz, Sullivan, Biden, all of them are paralyzed in fear by Putin's nuclear threats.
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Fabian Hoffmann(@FRHoffmann1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Ein großes Problem sind meiner Meinung nach nicht nur die Zahlen verfügbarer Systeme in den Beständen der Bundeswehr, sondern auch das Fehlen einer ballistischen Kurz- bzw. Mittelstreckenfähigkeit.

JFS-M, was als Unterschall-Mfk konzipiert ist, wird kaum in der Lage sein,…

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Roy🇨🇦(@GrandpaRoy2) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Ukrainian EOD engineers run hard after lighting the fuse to destroy a Russian FAB-250 bomb. Use a longer fuse next time, Guys!

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Federico Borsari فێدریکۆ بۆرساری(@federicoborsar1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Great piece by Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧 on why remain a defining capability of the war in & why it's crucial Western countries start to massively reinvest in this segment. Something also Fabian Hoffmann and many others, including myself, have been repeating for months.

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Fabian Hoffmann(@FRHoffmann1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Well, if I were a defense editor at a major newspaper, I'd commission a piece from Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧 on US security aid to Ukraine before the competition beats me to it.

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