Would be hilarious if the issues weren't existential. Well done

Pavel Podvig Belarus returned the two jets it “dispersed” back to their original airbase a couple of days after the announcement. That’s along with Putin looking kind of reluctant about it at that presser with Luka are the last public developments I’ve seen.

x.com/hajun_by/statu…

No, it's the other way around: targets were pinned before the China factor was duly taken into account. Doesn't make much more sense, though...🫢

A good question with a sad answer: today, EU isn't in a position to meet its climate change targets if it keeps out critical Chinese EVs & greentech related items (graphite, rare earths, battery, components, photovoltaics etc). A big dilemma deserving a serious democratic debate

Ammo arriving

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 815

1. 80 yrs ago began deportation of ~200k Crimean Tatars
2. DoD spox Sabrina Singh says 🇺🇸 restrictions vs strikes in 🇷🇺 still hold
3. Putin says won't take Kharkiv 'for the moment'
4. 13 Shaheds & 3 cruise missiles down. No data on number of missiles launched

1/2 Guerre d'Ukraine | 16/05/24

🌐 Synthèse mouvements🔹U240516-1805

Secteurs :
🌐 Zone Nord Kharkiv🔹U240516-1803
🌐 Bakhmut-Chasiv Yar🔹U240516-1750
🌐 Avdiivka-Ocheretyne🔹U240516-1743

#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine

Whom to believe?

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 814

1. serial drone attacks vs Novorossyisk , Sochi, Tuapse notably oil installations
2. 🇷🇺 offensive bogs down in Kharkiv gray zone
3. 20 Shaheds down

🇺🇸 - Oil and gas production has boomed under Biden
• At more than 13mn b/d, production is at record levels and exports of US hydrocarbons have surged
• Top ten oil firms had combined income of $313bn in 2021-23, triple the amount in same period with Trump

'The 71-year-old man who fired five shots at Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico, is linked with a pro-Russian extremist group a Hungarian investigative journalist reported.'
This is what mainstream media don't report but what one wants to know.
kyivpost.com/post/32742?utm…

1/2 Guerre d'Ukraine | 15/05/24

🌐 Synthèse mouvements🔹U240515-1848

Secteurs :
🌐 Zone Nord Kharkiv🔹U240515-1847
🌐 Kupiansk🔹U240515-1832
🌐 Avdiivka-Ocheretyne🔹U240515-1839

#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine

🪖 | Are Europeans Prepared to Send Troops to Ukraine?

Deploying troops to 🇺🇦, even for non-combat duties, entails risks most European countries are currently unwilling to take.

The priority right now must be ramping up aid to Kyiv.

19 experts comment: carnegieendowment.org/europe/strateg…

What a line-up! A pleasure to answer Judy!

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 813

1. Blinken in Kyiv stated that it's up to🇺🇦 to run the war -ie incl use of US weapons vs targets in 🇷🇺
2. Putin arrives in Beijing
3. Fico shot/wounded by poet of dubious provenance
4. 🇷🇺 operational tempo slowing in Kharkiv obl
5. 1/2 cruise missiles down in🇺🇦

By now the damage from Western dithering you fear is unfortunately inevitable.

Both transatlantic (and just as much intra-European) relations will be toxic. Not openly hostile, but seething, resentful.

Trust in a common vision defending the liberal democracy has collapsed.

Après l'effet de surprise de ces derniers jours au nord de Kharkiv et de ces nombreux km² gagnés par l'armée russe assez facilement en terrain vide, revient la récurrence des progressions géographiques réalistes, aux portes des villes après les repositionnements d'unités.

Désolé, mais faire de la Chine un des facteurs des tensions actuelles en Nouvelle-Calédonie, car le pays souhaiterait mettre la main sur les réserves de nickel de l’archipel et en faire une base avancée dans le Pacifique, c’est juste débile et ne rien connaitre au sujet…

In facing the deadly riots in New Caledonia, the government announces standard measures such as securing the airport and port areas. But it also bans TikTok in the archipelago. It's a new world...

Whatever the motives and networks behind the assassin and evidence to emerge, Russia is beginning to blame Ukraine for the assassination attempt of the Slovak PM. Watch this space and the imminent the desinfo campaign…