Protip:
When the US tries to convince you to give up the 3rd largest nuclear arsenal on earth, all your strategic bomber aircraft and to hand over missile arsenals to Russia in exchange for 'security guarantees' that Russians won't invade, rape, murder and lay waste to your…

'Things were better when I was 18,' said the young Black man getting ready to vote for Trump in a deep red state where the Justice Department will cease to exist in a year and where young Black legislators had to fight to be reinstated in their seats

Eile söögikohas. Mees püüab välismaisele teenindajale selgeks teha, et soovib talleliha. Paar korda alustab, aga ei suuda. Lõpuks alustab lauset: “Do you know Shaun The Sheep? …” 😂

I believe also #Finland should join the #3SI .

Alexander Stubb
Petteri Orpo
Elina Valtonen

🇫🇮🇫🇮🇫🇮

#Ulpo #Turpo #BalticSea #Economy #Infrastructure #Logistics #Security

twitter.com/kasparov63/sta…

There are many allies of democracy in frontline states including Ukraine that are horrified by news that one of revanchist Russia’s great cheerleaders in Washington is being promoted. Charap said weapons to Ukraine would make no difference, wants nations to bend to Russian force.

'Ukraine's air defense is weaker and since they don't have F-16s, Russia can cause a lot of harm with the glide bombs. F-16s would bring at least a bit of relief to it because their operating radius is larger. When Russia can’t bring their bombers closer, their accuracy goes…

'Especially if Russia plans a large new offense, they will need mobilization. Right now they are not capable of attacking Kharkiv from two directions – from Kupyansk in the east and across the border from Belgorod – simultaneously as has been speculated.'

'Considering their huge troop losses especially at Avdiivka they will need to announce a new mobilization wave. They can’t man their units gathering between 15-25k troops a month. I doubt they would be able to deploy more than that a month regardless of what they say themselves.…

'Russia also continues to destabilize Moldova. They have repeatedly claimed that Ukraine attacked targets in Transnistria. They are flying the leaders of the Gagauzia region to Moscow. The only aim is destabilization of the country ahead of the presidential elections in autumn.…

'This especially applies for Kharkiv where they haven’t been hitting anything else but residential areas over the last weeks. Kharkiv is also so close to the border that Ukraine's air defense can’t do much against the S-300 missiles. Occasionally they also pound the city with…

'The frequent missile and drone attacks on Kharkiv and Odessa are a concern. These are large, strategically and symbolically important cities. Russia's goal is to make life as uncomfortable there as possible.'

'But Russia will continue to progress primarily on the eastern front. There are also signs of very strong Russian pressure on areas that Ukraine won back last summer by Robotyne and Verbove.'

'There is no reason to fear that Ukraine's defense might collapse. It is not so tragic. Ukrainian top officers and people close to them are more optimistic than the West is. They say Ukraine might lose some ground in the next months but there is no fear of Russia breaking through…

'Again, it is because of no U.S. aid package. The last U.S. package in March was $300 million. It was smaller than the aid that Denmark announced on the same day. Since then, nothing. It really makes itself felt on the frontlines.'

'The reason is Ukraine’s lack of ammunition and weaponry to deter Russia’s planes. The Russian glide bombs just completely destroy Ukraine’s defense positions and there is no option but to retreat to new positions.'

'On the frontlines Russian pressure is strong. Since we spoke last time Ukraine has lost Avdiivika, Russia has advanced north-west of Bakhmut, west of Avdiivka, at Pervomaisk and maybe also on the southern frontline. It has been on an operational level, but it is consistent and…

'Does derives more from Biden’s team’s domestic considerations to keep the topic off of election discussions as rising oil prices wouldn’t not play well in elections? Is it a strategic fear or a combination, I can’t judge.'

Yep. But let's keep gasoline prices down. To hell with the Ukrainians.

'France has always wanted to project a larger geopolitical role in relations to the U.S. than it has actually possessed. Now that the U.S. has left a vacuum, Macron sees an opportunity to take advantage of.'