Monday Memos Data-driven takeaways and important notes from Week 8 NFL action 🧵⬇️

Rashee Rice in his last 11 healthy games, dating back to his rookie year: + 0.33 targets per route (would be 3rd in NFL in '25) + 2.98 yards per route (3rd) + 16.7 FP/G (5th) And in 2024 + 2025 alone... + 0.36 targets per route + 3.28 yards per route + 18.7 FP/G (1st) Data:

Top 10 WRs in first downs per route run on third and fourth down this season (minimum 120 routes run on the year)

Average separation score vs. targets per route run through Week 8: Who's excited to get Puka or JSN back from the bye?

How much separation 2025 WRs (-2 to +2 scale) have earned on all their routes and their grades at the catchpoint & after the catch

All receivers to average at least 2.5 YPRR against both man and zone coverage: + Jaxon Smith-Njigba + Puka Nacua + Amon-Ra St. Brown + CeeDee Lamb + Dalton Kincaid 👀 Fantasy Points Data

really just amazing to witness daniel jones in the colts offense so far this season he's massively improved his performance under pressure while taking full advantage of shane steichen's play calling and the embarrassment of riches at the skill positions

Game-winning drive stats are dumb. Instead, lets ask which QBs are the best at taking the lead or tying late in games, independent of game outcome. Posted before, but a few new QBs (Love, Hurts, Young) just hit min. threshold. Also now accounts for "almost no shot" drives

Through 8 games, Drake Maye has been the second best Year 2 Quarterback since EPA/Play began being tracked in 1999. Trailing only 2018 MVP Mahomes.

Cool notes about the Kansas City Chiefs offensive line this season, per Next Gen Stats... C Creed Humphrey – most pass block snaps without a sack allowed in NFL (330) RG Trey Smith – most pass block snaps without a sack allowed among RG (261) RT Jawaan Taylor – lowest QB pressure pct

Bryan Battle’s speech after his win at DBX 4 last night went so hard 🥶👏

SE ACABA! Yadier del Valle 🇨🇺 es un problema #UFCVegas110

It’s time to drop all my stats recapping today’s games via Fantasy Points Data! 1. Drake London’s target shares in his previous 3 games that Darnell Mooney started and finished this year: - 19.0% - 18.6% - 18.4% Drake London’s target share today: 37.8%

Rashee Rice in six full games over the last two seasons: 2024: -17.3 PPR points (PPR WR14) -18.5 (WR16) -29.1 (WR3) 2025: -23.2 (WR10) -25.5 (WR2) -18.6 (WR12) Overall, Ja'Marr Chase (22.7) is the only WR with more PPR points per game than Rice (22) since the beginning of 2024

WR Leaders in YPRR vs.... Man Coverage 1. AJ Brown (4.34) 2. Puka Nacua (4.08) 3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (3.65) Zone Coverage 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba (5.02) 2. Puka Nacua (3.64) 3. Drake LondoN (3.39) Single-High 1. Puka Nacua (4.62) 2. Alec Pierce (3.69) 3. George Pickens (3.62)

Charted accurate throw rate (Fantasy Points Data) vs. actual dropback efficiency (penalizing sacks and INTs) through Week 9 - All of these teams could simply have hired Klint Kubiak and signed Sam Darnold - Shough would be far off the bottom left corner. Rattler did nothing wrong!

Which RBs (and their O-lines) are generating explosives and avoiding getting stuffed? - I love that efficient De'Von Achane is back in our lives this year - Rico Dowdle is to Chuba Hubbard as Ken Walker is to Zach Charbonnet - Would have loved Breece in KC! Fantasy Points Data

First-read target shares vs. first downs per route run via Fantasy Points Data I would love to see Jaylen Waddle with a great quarterback I would love to see Tetairoa McMillan with a great quarterback

Rico Dowdle is 1 of 15 RBs to hit both: + 3.00 yards after contact per rush + 40% rush success rate (2024-25 data combined, minimum 200 attempts) Dowdle's yards after contact per rush rate is the highest of this group.