Ethan Jasny
@EthanJasny
Harvard Youth Poll @HarvardIOP. Previously: @CookPolitical, Primaries Project @BrookingsGov. Thrower of stones @harvardcurling
25-09-2019 03:24:03
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How accurate are Cook Political Report's race ratings? Last summer, I compiled CPR's 10,000+ historical ratings dating back to 1984 to answer that question.
Lean ratings were correct ~94% of the time, Likely ratings ~97%, and Solid ratings virtually 100%
cookpolitical.com/analysis/natio…