Following up on this—added more $BABA calls (Jan 2026 expiry) today. The stock has a history of overshooting in both directions—right now, it’s oversold at 7x EBITDA and sentiment couldn’t be worse. When it rebounds, it tends to move fast.

NEW: Some advanced AI models are showing troubling behavior, including lying, scheming, and making threats. Researchers reportedly found these systems can act deceptively. In one case, Anthropic’s Claude 4 allegedly threatened to expose an engineer’s affair. Another model from

Being early looks wrong. Until it doesn’t.

The US Dollar is already oversold by the widest margin in 21 years. Sure, let’s cut rates and see what happens next…

$BUR

🇨🇳CHINA STATE PLANNER CHAIR: SAYS EXPECTS THE SIZE OF CHINA’S ECONOMY TO EXCEED 140 TRILLION YUAN THIS YEAR. TECH CURBS CAN ONLY STRENGTHEN CHINA’S TECH INNOVATION AND RESOLVE ON SELF-RELIANCE. #CHINA $SHCOMP $SSEC $ASHR $HSI $KWEB $FXI $HXC $DRAG $YINN $YANG

Honestly tempted to close every position, go 120% long $BABA, and log off until 2026.

50% tariffs on copper, steel, and aluminum, and 14.5% on lumber. Sky high tariffs on every input to home building is not going to fix the housing shortage.

With the YPF cloud lifting, is $BUR finally ready to rerate? My latest thoughts → substack.com/@equitybrian/n…

Among China tech, $BABA leads with an estimated 3-year FCF CAGR of ~32%—yet still trades at just 20x FCF and 7x EBITDA. Market still isn’t pricing the growth.

The setup in China makes additional easing almost inevitable. The only real debate is what form it takes—monetary, fiscal, or structural.

TikTok's parent company Bytedance will have caught up to Meta's revenue scale by the end of the year. They made $155B in 2024 growing 29%. Meta made $165B growing 22%. Both expect to end 2025 at ~$185-190B. US regulatory risk is the main thing holding TikTok back.

Alibaba is throwing cash at instant delivery to drive long-term value—each subsidized order is a gateway to higher-margin sales across appliances, groceries & memberships. The market may see it as bearish for $BABA, but the real loser is Meituan, now down to ~50% MS from >70%

There’s a difference between a cheap stock and a mispriced business. I’m after the latter.

🔴Argentina informa a la Juez Preska de la apelación de esta mañana y que solicitó a la Corte de Apelaciones la suspensión del fallo que ella probablemente no le de. Si llegase a otorgar dicha suspensión, el país informará a la Corte de Apelaciones que la jurisdicción continuará

Why negotiate when you can invoice?