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If I showed you this temperature station record, would you say it was evidence that man is affecting the climate? Most people surely would. (Thread)

The greatest feeling you can have as a scientist is realizing you’ve discovered something that no one else in the world knows yet When this happens, put your pencil down, take a deep breath and savor those three minutes before someone points out it was published fifty yrs ago

Really neat: Food supply has greatly increased, but Americans are only eating a third of the increase and the rest is getting thrown out.

What is actually bad for the environment that many think is good?

Cameron Murray Perfect 🤌

Little perspective on the super changes. Worth remembering super balances right across the distribution likely to near double next ten years regardless and current retirees already have lower financial stress than employed persons of working age. afr.com/policy/economy…

Is the media misrepresenting the “housing crisis” in Australia? I chat in this FET podcast with ANU Professor Ben Phillips about the puzzling fact that rent-to-income ratios are near their lowest in a decade. fresheconomicthinking.com/p/fet-56-why-d…

I also suspect that the next signficant wave of "youth rebellion" in western society (which we haven't had since the 60's) will focus on rejecting both extended childhood and prolonged education. Plus formation of IRL crews and groups that are visible on the streets.

Is the rental market in crisis? + superannuation policy and cost of living. Always good to chat with Cameron Murray

You had me at “media misrepresenting”

Deaths remain elevated after the pandemic. #auspol #ausbiz #ausecon

Good podcast episode that people should listen to if they actually want a reasonable data backed view of what’s happening in rents, cost of living and proposed super tax changes.

It's odd Covid19 didn't induce a 'pull forward' effect in relation to aggregate deaths, no? (That is, sudden surge in earlier than expected deaths among the vulnerable should have precipitated a sharp fall in deaths later)

Very interesting interview here from Cameron Murray in the midst of a housing crisis (Australia) - key metric is ‘housing burden’ (net cost of housing) open.substack.com/pub/freshecono…

Good video from Saul Eslake One quick point. I often feel like the inheritance debates are premised on the idea that young people get inheritances, when generally it is old people, as the data presented shows youtu.be/_kQ-i4WG2tI?si…

Every age group experienced a sizable increase in lonely time that none have recovered from as of 2023. I really wonder how much of this is a genuine increase in alone time versus an increase in using newer modes of communication, like hanging out over Discord.

A friend of mine won a bet about myocarditis and the COVID vaccines a few years ago. He bet that the myocarditis side effect was real and sizable for young men. While COVID was more likely to cause myocarditis in general, among the young, the Moderna vaccine was a bit worse.

I can't tell you how amazing it is that journals like the AER are publishing precise null effects like this. #NullEffectsMatter