Ben Paxton This is what the regulated period looked like in 2015 - the last time we had a 'long campaign'
When will the next general election be held?
We've mapped out the most likely scenarios for polling day - an early election in May 2024, a late election in January 2025 and an early/late autumn 2024.
Great to work with Ben Paxton on these graphics instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/next…
Ben Paxton Alongside these are the limits on 3rd party spending: campaigning by groups like charities and trade unions. This accounts for a growing proportion of electoral spend - 8.5% in 2019, up from 3.3% in 2015
All eyes on… June 20th?
Ben Paxton and Dr Catherine Haddon have updated our brilliant Institute for Government explainer on when the next general could be held - and the options available to Rishi Sunak.
instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/next…
⬇️An excellent explainer by Ben Paxton on when the next general election could be held, and the different factors that might play into that decision.
💥 Today launches Institute for Government election content! 💥 Starting with Ben Paxton explainer on when the election will take place. There are four likely dates: 2nd May 2024, mid-Oct 2024, 21st Nov 2024 or 23d Jan 2025. See our full explainer for more info: instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainer/next…
Former politicians and senior civil servants repeatedly tell us it's crucial to prepare for ALL general election outcomes, even those that seem unlikely
Really important paper from jack pannell on the questions parties will face if we get a hung parliament at the next election
Very excited to be launching Institute for Government election content today - lots to come between now and polling day.
But first, great content today from Ben Paxton Tim Durrant Joe Owen on calling an election, possible dates for next one & the value of some post-election stability 👇
Loads of fantastic insights came out of our Preparing for Power podcast series - 7 key things summarised here by Ben Paxton
My personal fave is how different life is going from opposition to government - procedures, relationships, everything!
Ben Paxton I’ve been tweeting about this since June.
Last date (Jan 25) will not happen unless Sunak decides he wants to destroy the Tories for a generation.
An election campaign over Xmas would guarantee a Canadian style 1993 wipe-out (see pic)
Melissa Ittoo Institute for Government Ben Paxton interesting, thank you
but we want a general election now, in 2023, before this unelected PM makes any more unmandated changes to our future
#GEnow
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/6419…
A great summery by Ben Paxton of some of the key lessons from the excellent preparing for power podcast series. If you’ve missed it, you can find the whole series here.
instituteforgovernment.org.uk/general-electi…
🎧The final part of the brilliant Institute for Government Preparing for Power podcast series is out now!
Fascinating interviews with Ed Balls Harriet Harman Gus O'Donnell Jonathan Powell Polly Mackenzie & more
With Emma_Norris
Produced by Milo Hynes Ben Paxton
podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/ins…
Ben Paxton Seems to me the 'obvious' answer given a PM needing confidence of the House and a new House elected is a new PM instantly. But, can see the argument the new House could have confidence for a short period to allow a handover to be more graceful.
Missed our brilliant Institute for Government Preparing for Power podcast series?
Check out this ace new blog by Ben Paxton
Key lessons from interviews with Ed Balls Harriet Harman Polly Mackenzie Oliver Letwin Jonathan Powell Nick Macpherson Kate Fall & more..
instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/prepar…
Ben Paxton Would the alternative be the current PM/executive remain in place for a period of time whilst the incoming 'shadow'?
What happens if there's a crisis in the interim? Could the monarch expedite the handover so the old PM isn't in control?