What he means is that chain of tasks will pass benchmarks. It will take more time operationalizing all of this in workflows (both human and technical) to actually replace the jobs. People keep conflating the two.

Anecdotal evidence: Doing my own taxes this year using GPT. It’s time consuming because the workflow isn't operationalized, but I’m using very little cognitive energy. Workflow: Create project, uploaded all data docs to the root. Use freetaxusa.com and feed GPT

I wrote about my longstanding fascination with The Singularity, Ai, and societal change. christeso.medium.com/waiting-on-the…

As a follow up, I wrote about the future structure of product development and the rise of The Conductor. christeso.medium.com/the-conductor-…

I’ve been working this way and the golden age of the Conductor has arrived. I’ll enjoy orchestrating intelligence until it orchestrates itself. As a solopreneur, this is enlightenment. christeso.medium.com/the-conductor-…

I was driving my Y yesterday talking to Grok Ara persona. All of a sudden Ara started responding to me but in my voice. It freaked me out. I thought I was having an auditory hallucination. I asked Grok if it records and synthesizes user’s voices, or how this could happen, but it

I prefer the lily pond parable, Dario Amodei. medium.com/@christeso/wai…

The growing “tax the rich” consensus may turn out young, impressionable voters, but it will not end well for the party that cannot rein in spending. The tax myth eventually gets exposed: there simply aren’t enough rich people to fund the promises. Should these ideas pass, there

They are better at tasks, not jobs. Jobs are a set of tasks, but orchestration is not yet there yet. Until the AI can orchestrate, be a Conductor. medium.com/@christeso/the…

Under capitalism outcomes will never be equal, but a rising tide has lifted all boats. Over time it has improved living standards, income, and wealth for all. Growth comes from productivity and innovation, not redistribution. You even lived through a shining example. 1945 to the

Underrated power of vibe coding is documentation. Codex documents a million% more than I or my dev teams ever did. PRs, migration notes, API docs, setup instructions, architectural summaries, pre-launch checklists... it's 🧑‍🍳💋

A lot of software is about to get a lot better, right before it becomes unnecessary.

Valuation says TAM is the value of all cognitive labor.