Forecasting we've all been waiting for...🙃science.org/content/articl…

Only one week left to apply! Send your PAP or extended abstract our way and join us in Brno!

Just published in nature! Research by Google DeepMind including Nobel Laureate Demis Hassabis introduces a novel technique for reliably identifying LLM-generated content. At its core, this approach subtly alters the next-token sampling process to introduce minor adjustments

New data: Half of Americans are *not confident* Harris will concede if she loses (51.6%), even fewer are confident Trump will concede (28.8%). Republicans have more confidence in a Trump concession (58.8%) than a Harris concession (38.3%). Compared to 13.3% and 67.3% among

The Czech Fulbright Committee asked me to write a short blog piece about my stay—so here it is! Huge thanks to Polarization Research Lab for hosting me! czechfulbright.blogspot.com/2024/11/tadeas…

It was a thrill to be a visitor at IPZ - Political Science UZH and ETH Zurich. Thank you to everyone who made my stay so pleasant. I hope we will have the chance to meet again soon.

In case you missed it, I have a new piece out in EJPR! :) doi.org/10.1111/1475-6…

The article on culture wars in public opinion across Europe now also covered at LSE EUROPP blog . Thanks!

Check my new article in Political Behavior! doi.org/10.1007/s11109… You can also read the full 🧵here: muni.cz/go/pobe-article