📊 New perk for Tier 3+ patrons: Weekly Model Training Data drops are now live! Updated every Sunday night (no later than Monday) Same format as the Model Training Pack Includes opening Vegas lines (updated lines available via the CFBD API) 🔗 buff.ly/mQLES23

⏱️ First half vs second half ⏱️ This chart shows net success rate by half through Week 4: 📈 X = 1st half 📈 Y = 2nd half ▪️ Wire-to-wire winners dominate both halves ▪️ Fast starters who fade late live in the bottom right ▪️ 2nd-half surges climb the top left

Interesting note from the CFBD Model Pick’em: Players making 30+ picks in Week 5: 2021 – 18 2022 – 36 2023 – 39 2024 – 37 2025 – 65 (!) That’s a MAASSIVE jump. Competition is heating up fast. 🔥

If you model, you should join!

Week 5 delivered plenty of chaos 😮💨 Here are the Top 10 most exciting games according to the CFBD Excitement Index: 🔥 Kansas–Cincinnati tops the list at 8.5 ⚡ Stanford–SJSU & Miss State–Tennessee right behind Which game had you on the edge of your seat?

🔥 QB efficiency leaders (through Week 5) 🔥 Here are the Top 15 QBs in opponent-adjusted EPA per dropback. USC’s Jayden Maiava is still setting the pace — but Kansas’ Jalon Daniels, Bama’s Ty Simpson, and even Vandy’s Diego Pavia aren’t far behind.

🔥 RB efficiency leaders (through Week 5) 🔥 Here are the Top 15 RBs in opponent-adjusted EPA per rush. UTSA’s Robert Henry is still carrying the flag at #1, with Michigan’s Justice Haynes and Mizzou’s Ahmad Hardy close behind.

📊 Model Training Drop for Week 6 games is now live to Patreon Tier 3+ subs! This is updated every Sunday night (no later than Monday) Same format as the Model Training Pack Includes opening Vegas lines (updated lines available via the CFBD API) buff.ly/qZAyhFV

👟 Kicker leaderboard (through Week 5) 👟 Top 15 kickers in Points Added Above Replacement (PAAR), measuring how many points they’ve added compared to a replacement-level kicker on the same attempts/distances. Hawai‘i’s Kansei Matsuzawa is running away with it at +12.7 🤯

It’s October, which means college basketball tips off next month. 👀 Thinking it might be time for a CBB Starter Pack…