Since summer, we've observed softer Trump support in Wisconsin than other battleground states + base erosion

A consistent 7% of his 2016 voters have told use they are now switching to Biden each time we've polled Wisconsin

Defection rate is big reason the state leans Democratic

Wisconsin also a state in which Biden is over-performing Clinton among White, non-college voters *more* than he is among White, college voters

Among White men who backed Trump in 2016, about one in ten now say they're supporting Biden

May not seem like a lot, but very important

Hard to pinpoint exactly why Trump '16 voters switching to Biden, but along with coronavirus handling, this data offers a clue

In contrast to Trump's '16 campaign rhetoric, most voters say he's more concerned about wealthy/elite than middle class or poor (fewer say so of Biden)

Greg Scribbler Kabir K. / kabirkhanna.bsky.social CBS News YouGov Trump’s faux populism has caught up with him. His tax plan geared toward the rich, his installation of pro-corporate judges, his gutting of environmental and workers’ protection regulations, his plan to overturn healthcare. Trump has governed like a typical corporate Republican.