Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile
Biren Vakil Paradigm

@birenvakil

Hedging & structured arbitrage in commodities & forex. Curious on ESG. Macroeconomist. In search of Mispriced markets. Loves music.

ID: 96591703

linkhttp://www.birenvakil.in calendar_today13-12-2009 17:47:55

11,11K Tweet

6,6K Followers

688 Following

Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Kachhighani- soy refine spread- tested 440 3 time, tested minus 100 2 time..Average band minus 50-150..recently spread sharply corrected fm 450 to 370.. #kachhighani mistard oil down fm 1675 to 1590..spread cud narrow further towards 150-250 before nov end.

Kachhighani- soy refine spread- tested 440 3 time, tested minus 100 2 time..Average band minus 50-150..recently spread sharply corrected fm 450 to 370.. #kachhighani mistard oil down fm 1675 to 1590..spread cud narrow further towards 150-250 before nov end.
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

हम को कीस के ग़म ने मारा, ये कहानी फीर सही, किसने तोड़ा डिल हमारा, ये कहानी फीर सही...शायर को कीसका ग़म हे? कहीं गवारगम का तो नहीं...?? #गवारगम

Karen Braun (@kannbwx) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🇺🇸Trump said on Thursday that U.S. farmers will receive some of the proceeds from tariff revenues. "Ultimately, the farmers are going to be making a fortune."

🇺🇸Trump said on Thursday that U.S. farmers will receive some of the proceeds from tariff revenues.

"Ultimately, the farmers are going to be making a fortune."
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Indore spot soymeal basis NCDEX. Major support area 32000-33000. Resi area 39000-42000. Based on fibonacci retracements, a counterintuitive rally towards 39000-41000. Short term bottom in place around 32200.

Indore spot soymeal basis NCDEX. Major support area 32000-33000. Resi area 39000-42000. Based on fibonacci retracements, a counterintuitive rally towards 39000-41000. Short term bottom in place around 32200.
Gaurav kochar (@gaurav_kochar) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🌱 Devastation in Satara, Maharashtra, India 👉 In Shamagav, Karad Taluka, farmer Bapurao Pol lost his entire soybean crop to heavy rains. 🌧️ Clutching a few remaining grains, he collapsed in his field, heartbroken. 💔 The plight of farmers in Maharashtra and across India cannot

Eduardo Vanin (@eduardovanin4) 's Twitter Profile Photo

#China still needs ~120 #soybean cargoes to cover OND window. Basis CFR China ex-Arg up 30 c/b from the lows of the LW. Arg has already sold 85% of the 12.2 Mi t of export registration for OC. The farmer selling in Brz OC at the current levels has been minimal

#China still needs ~120 #soybean cargoes to cover OND window. Basis CFR China ex-Arg up 30 c/b from the lows of the LW. Arg has already sold 85% of the 12.2 Mi t of export registration for OC.  The farmer selling in Brz OC at the current levels has been minimal
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Bhavantar scheme returns in MP #soybean, sources say. Informed buying continued in govt stock. Crop damage story gains traction..New season MSP 5325, soybean cmp 4650-4700 ex indore..last yr crop 111 lt, current yr forecast 105, pvt estimates 90-95 lt. Charts shows trend revarsal

Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

#Soybean- world opng stock 121.60 vs ly 110.54. Total supply 545.85 vs ly 543.30 mnt. Ending stock 124.40 vs ly 121.60 mln. Now the key number. Stock to use ratio 29.5 vs ly 29.5 mln just unchanged. Fear of supply glut may be overplayed. ( data credit oilworld Germany)

Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Follow up post- #Kachhighani-Soy refine oil spread. On 9th Aug, spread was 370. Peak spread 450. Peak kachhighani 1670, on 9th Aug rate 1590. We indicated spread to narrow towards 150-250. Spread tested 225 today (NCDEX Spot data). Cmp spread range 85-273. Bias is soft.

Follow up post- #Kachhighani-Soy refine oil spread. On 9th Aug, spread was 370. Peak spread 450. Peak kachhighani 1670, on 9th Aug rate 1590. We indicated spread to narrow towards 150-250. Spread tested 225 today (NCDEX Spot data). Cmp spread range 85-273. Bias is soft.
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

#Rmseed-soybean spread. Peak value 3075, CMP 2550. Tgt spread 800-1200 based on various fibonacci retrecement convergance. Soy may outperform RM seed in 1H 2026. Looks like clean trade, open and shut case for #intracommodityarbitragearbitrage.

#Rmseed-soybean spread. Peak value 3075, CMP 2550. Tgt spread 800-1200 based on various fibonacci retrecement convergance. Soy may outperform RM seed in 1H 2026. Looks like clean trade, open and shut case for #intracommodityarbitragearbitrage.
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

MCX Spot #cotton weekly chart from 2013 to 6 Oct 2025. Mkt is approaching near multimonth support zone. critical support area around is 24000-24500. Detail comments r in chart window.

MCX Spot #cotton weekly chart from 2013 to 6 Oct 2025. Mkt is approaching near multimonth support zone. critical support area around is 24000-24500. Detail comments r in chart window.
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Top 3 charts are-Platinum, Silver, S&P. Lower 3 charts are..Gold, bitcoin and #Nikkie. Except platinum, all others are alltime high (#Silver is just $1.5 usd shy fm record ATH.) Platinum seems to be new bull mkt among PGM. Everything bull mkt is getting supercharged by #FOMO+debt

Top 3 charts are-Platinum, Silver, S&P. Lower 3 charts are..Gold, bitcoin and #Nikkie. Except platinum, all others are alltime high (#Silver is just $1.5 usd shy fm record ATH.) Platinum seems to be new bull mkt among PGM. Everything bull mkt is getting supercharged by #FOMO+debt
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

COMEX Dec #Gold futures surpass 4000. Fomo+debt+trust deficit in sovereign assets..Blistering bull mkt in US equities, falling DXY and moon shot rally in gold = own private assets but partly hedge $ risk using Gold. #Chaoshedge

🏴‍☠️ (@calvinfroedge) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If you lost millions yesterday on leverage but you still have $2M+ left over, here's my advice to you: Take it out of the casino, pay the taxes, buy a house with low property taxes, put the rest in boring dividend boomer consumer stocks, and enjoy your fortress of solitude.

Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

NY #Silver yrly continue chart fm 1967- 9 oct2025. During 1973-1980 silver surged fm $2 to 49.50, bottomed at 3.63 in 1992. 2nd bull mkt started fm 4.01 in 2000, topout at 49.70 in 2011, bottomed at 11.73 in 2020. 3rd bull mkt started fm 11.73 in 2020, now 51.20. #silvertrance

NY #Silver yrly continue chart fm 1967- 9 oct2025. During 1973-1980 silver surged fm  $2 to 49.50, bottomed at 3.63 in 1992. 2nd bull mkt started fm 4.01 in 2000,  topout at 49.70 in 2011, bottomed at 11.73 in 2020. 3rd bull mkt started fm 11.73 in 2020, now 51.20. #silvertrance
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Spot #Bitcoin- An expanding triangle formation is seen. Prices retreated from 126000 to 108000. Almost 20 bln usd wiped out in recent crypto sell off. Expanding triangle often known as megaphone top, a less common but powerful trend reversal pattern as per classical tec analysis

Spot #Bitcoin- An expanding triangle formation is seen. Prices retreated from 126000 to 108000. Almost 20 bln usd wiped out in recent crypto sell off. Expanding triangle often known as megaphone top, a less common but powerful trend reversal pattern as per classical tec analysis
Biren Vakil Paradigm (@birenvakil) 's Twitter Profile Photo

COMEX Dec #Gold. Major support area 3580-3770. Current prices 4254. Major resistance area- probable top area is 4281-4371-4567 which is marked by dark blue box.

COMEX Dec #Gold. Major support area 3580-3770. Current prices 4254. Major resistance area- probable top area is 4281-4371-4567 which is marked by dark blue box.