Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profileg
Antony Green - elections

@AntonyGreenElec

Election Analyst with ABC but all opinions and tweets are my own views. Keen bike rider. I block people who flood my timeline with posts.

ID:115884789

linkhttps://antonygreen.com.au/ calendar_today20-02-2010 09:07:50

38,2K Tweets

220,4K Followers

152 Following

Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Pre-poll voting for the Cook by-election still lags the 2022 election. Postals also down so turnout will depend on how many voters turn up to vote on Saturday. With no Labor candidate the contest has been low profile. abc.net.au/news/elections…

Pre-poll voting for the Cook by-election still lags the 2022 election. Postals also down so turnout will depend on how many voters turn up to vote on Saturday. With no Labor candidate the contest has been low profile. abc.net.au/news/elections… #auspol
account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Postal and pre-poll voting rates pointing to low turnout for this Saturday's Cook by-election. Numbers taken so far can be found here. abc.net.au/news/elections…

Postal and pre-poll voting rates pointing to low turnout for this Saturday's Cook by-election. Numbers taken so far can be found here. abc.net.au/news/elections… #auspol
account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Final wrap of the by-election. A normal by-election swing, normal turnout, normal preference flows and unexceptional results by vote type.
antonygreen.com.au/final-wrap-of-…

Final wrap of the #Dunkley by-election. A normal by-election swing, normal turnout, normal preference flows and unexceptional results by vote type. #auspol antonygreen.com.au/final-wrap-of-…
account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

One last distribution in Braddon. 1,106 surplus of Miriam Beswick (JLN) to be distributed as it is larger than Garland's 948 vote lead over Simpson (LIB), but there is no way these votes can change the result. Garland elected to the 7th Braddon seat. antonygreen.com.au/2024-tasmanian…

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Garland trailed by 267 before the exclusion of the final Greens candidate but now is 943 votes ahead of 4th Liberal Giovanna Simpson with not enough votes left to change the result.

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Craig Garland pass the fourth Liberal in Braddon to win the election's last undecided seat. Final election result is Liberal 14, Labor 10, Greens 5, Jaqui Lambie Network 3, Independents 3.

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Exclusion of Broad's surplus cuts the Liberal lead to 267 votes. It also left Beswick (JLN) short of quota so Briggs (GRN) is the next out and looks set to elect Garland (IND) over Simpson (LIB) and leave the Liberal Party with only 14 seats.

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The leakage of JLN votes out of the ticket boosted Garland and simplified the count. There will be no JLN surplus distribution, Labor's 209 vote surplus will go next, then Briggs (GRN) will be distributed and determine if Garland wins. antonygreen.com.au/2024-tasmanian…

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The exclusion of the second JLN candidate favours Garland and cuts the Liberal lead from 391 votes to 279. antonygreen.com.au/2024-tasmanian…

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Final state of the count in Lyons antonygreen.com.au/2024-tasmania-… Includes links to final state of play with count completed and 7 MHAs elected in Clark and Franklin.

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The state of the count in Braddon at the end of counting on Friday. Plus what counts will unfold tomorrow. Garland is favoured to win the final seat. antonygreen.com.au/2024-tasmanian…

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The state of the count in Bass at the end of counting on Friday. Seven candidates remain, three projected seats to formally declare plus the order of tomorrow's counts. antonygreen.com.au/2024-tasmanian…

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

No result in Braddon tonight. The TEC will distribute LIB Roger Jaensch's surplus and adjourn till tomorrow to deal with an ALP surplus, a JLN exclusion and surplus before the Greens are distributed. Craig Garland is now clear favourite to defeat Liberal Giovanna Simpson.

account_circle
Antony Green - elections(@AntonyGreenElec) 's Twitter Profile Photo

With maybe 5,500 mainly Green but some JLN preferences to be distributed, Craig Garland needs to gain only about 400 more preferences than Liberal Giovanna Simpson.

account_circle