New article by Lauren Sukin and @Alanoszka challenges convention wisdom regarding alliance reassurance. Key finding - respondents in Central–Eastern European countries prefer demonstrations of credibility that minimize the risks of crisis escalation. academic.oup.com/isq/article/68…

Wearing a Kim Jong-Un-style tunic, Dmitry Medvedev says 'Ukraine is definitely Russia' and shows off a map of what he thinks should be left of Ukraine. Spoiler: not much!

'Our geostrategic space has been indivisible since the time of the ancient Russian state,' he says.

“All allied states are present in Ukraine. These are not combat units, but there are representatives of all intelligence services,” a Ukrainian diplomatic source said. Via Elise Vincent Philippe Ricard lemonde.fr/international/…

'The war room in Mons has been remade to call up troop reinforcements and map out long-range military strikes on Russian soil even before a war breaks out. For the first time, NATO forces are exercising those brand new war plans.' foreignpolicy.com/2024/02/28/nat…

Estonia to build 600 bunkers along Russian border

#Estonia

news.err.ee/1609227386/est…

'According to the poll, 82 % of the Lithuanian population supports the permanent deployment of the German brigade in Lithuania, and 83 % have a positive view of German soldiers'. lrt.lt/en/news-in-eng…

Defence Minister Boris #Pistorius and his 🇱🇹 counterpart Arvydas Anušauskas have signed the roadmap on setting up the #Bundeswehr #BrigadeLTU . The main forces will move to Rukla and Rūdninkai in 2025/2026, with full operational readiness in 2027.

'The interviews with current and former diplomats revealed that European officials were mostly out of ideas for how to deal with Mr. Trump other than returning to a previous playbook of flattery and transactional tributes' nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/…

Wrapping up a two-week visiting lecturer post in snowy Tartu Skytte Institute UT. Small place but an impressively rich intellectual environment.

'Ukrainian spies with deep ties to CIA wage shadow war against Russia'. Excellent read by Greg Miller and Isabelle Khurshudyan washingtonpost.com/world/2023/10/…

Looking forward to taking part in this event next Friday.

We’re back! The Political WorldView podcast has relaunched! 🎉🎈

New episode, ‘Trump’s Trials, Biden’s Age’, ft me and David H Dunn, out now on

SoundCloud: soundcloud.com/political-worl…

Apple: podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/tru…

Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/2Enr8F…

#trump #biden #politics “ #uspolitics

What do they eat down there? 🇱🇻×🇱🇹

Two Baltic brothers with a combined population of 5 million, both heading to the #FIBAWC Quarter-Finals!

Well, at least now we know what air defense doing.

I traveled around Ukraine for the last few weeks visiting different drone factories & software developers and was stunned by the level of innovation taking place.
AI-assisted killing is about to go mainstream in Ukraine, w/ implications far beyond the war
washingtonpost.com/world/2023/07/…

Nothing to see here. Just a Russian state-founded think-tank declaring Poland & Baltics to be fake states. 'all three republics, in fact, are breakaway parts of the large Russian space ... the question of the legitimacy of sovereignty is not resolved.' russiancouncil.ru/analytics-and-…

My book, Reassessing Russia's Security Policy, is coming out shortly, the result of nine years research.💪🎉🍾
I'm going to briefly explain what it covers here 🧵 1/
routledge.com/Reassessing-Ru…

Delighted to be lead writer on this new GLOBSEC report on the Eastern Flank.

Marcin Zaborowski was the content editor, Jacqueline Siratova contributed key content, and Ben Hodges gave feedback and support.

A 🧵 on the report and its recommendations. globsec.org/what-we-do/pub…

NATO's new regional plans: 'One for the north, covering the Atlantic and European Arctic; one for the centre, which addresses the Baltic and central Europe down to the Alps; and a southern plan for the Mediterranean and Black Sea.' via Shashank Joshi economist.com/international/…