Excited to finally have a working paper of this. It’s a cool experiment and model, please check it out.

I'm a bit late to this, but Hal is very generous and gave Scott Baker and I our first seminar invite as grad students, as well as a cool Google Economics shirt.

If you're a coder, you should consider going to this event in SF on Sep 6. I'm optimistic that it will produce useful research, and it needs more participation!

Hard to design a good personalized recommendation system without training on usage data.

It's great to be able to work with private data sources to understand AI's impact on jobs, but they are not a substitute for high-quality government data. That's why I signed this letter to the US Secretary of Labor.

I wrote a long blot post on the economics of AI, prompted by two great workshops (Windfall and NBER), and me leaving OpenAI for METR: TLDR: we driving in the fog. 1. There is no standard model of AI’s economic impact. Economists have been using a wide range of assumptions to

I am participating in several expert panels requiring me to predict the economic effects of AI, each asking very similar questions. Am getting worried about making different predictions in each one. Is this a problem?