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Andrew Dessler

@AndrewDessler

Prof of Atmospheric Sciences & climate scientist @ Texas A&M; AGU and AAAS Fellow; Native Texan; find out what I think at https://t.co/UNGW2rqvbo

calendar_today02-08-2013 06:19:50

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Most people don't understand what a 100-year storm means. It means that there's a 1% chance it will occur each year.

A better metric would be 'chance during a 30-year mortgage'.

For 100-year and 500-year events, this is 26% (1 in 4) and 6% (1 in 16).

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