Poisson regression can get one so far with so little trouble, why do so many still resist? Especially with panel data. It’s too bad we can’t give it another name to reflect the fact that its a fully robust estimator of conditional mean parameters.

What kind of childhood makes a top scientist? Is it enough to have all the right traits (brilliance, grit, etc) or do you need the right family too? And why should we care? A 🧵 on our paper on the Nobel Laureates. A teaser: the income distribution of the laureates' fathers.1/N

Our paper on "Electoral Turnovers" with Benjamin Marx and Vincent Rollet is now forthcoming at The Review of Economic Studies ! Full thread on what we do and find here: x.com/VinPons/status…

Prospect theory is wrong as a theory of choice between lotteries. And we've already had the evidence for decades! A new paper by Bouchouicha, Oprea, Vieider, and Wu shows how 🧵dropbox.com/scl/fi/y0spy1g…

Intergroup contact is arguably the most studied prejudice-reduction intervention. However, recent meta-analyses of experimental contact interventions find signs of p-hacking and file drawer problems. In an effort to avoid such biases, this new working paper by Matt Lowe

Some of the most important lottery anomalies from the behavioral risk literature (e.g., loss aversion) actually have nothing to do with risk. They also arise in perfectly deterministic settings.

Most gender inequality in the labor market emerges at parenthood. But does parenthood cause it? My JMP introduces a new method to answer this question. I find that at least half of the observed gender gaps in work hours and income would emerge even without children. 🧵

Gender norms are extremely persistent and constrain women's life opportunities, especially so in poor countries. In my Job Market Paper, I show that grassroots media are an effective policy instrument to address gender norms at scale. #EconJMP #econtwitter

Couples rearrange their time after having a child—but what happens to their relationship? My JMP w/Belén Rodríguez introduces a novel measure of relationship quality (RQ). We find a sharp, lasting RQ decline after birth, driven by shifts in household specialization. 1/11

A long-run policy or technology-driven decline in oil demand will likely lead to oil supply disinvestment, rather than a green paradox in which producers accelerate extraction, from Ryan Kellogg nber.org/papers/w33207

Need an 📢alternative to Rosen-Roback 📢that accounts for trade (tradable goods & local services) & mobility (local ties &idiosyncratic tastes) frictions? Our new paper & quality-of-life solver for MATLAB/Stata/R/Python, plus a😎HTML-tool available at qol.ahlfeldt.com

Look at how physicians diagnose more children with ADHD on Halloween (the red line in the middle of the figure). The authors hypothesize that docs are more likely to diagnose kids on this day simply because kids are excited for Halloween. Fascinating!

Some highlights from the BeNA Winter Workshop 2024 Freie Universität 🎓 Congrats to Martin Wiegand for winning the BeNA Innovative Research Award! 🏆 Thanks to all participants, especially Han Ye and Jean-Victor Alipour, for their great feedback and keynotes. 🙌

🧑‍🎄time! Our CEPR LSE Geography & Environment Centre for Economic Performance DP #PrimeLocations is forthcoming at AER: Insights.🍾 Our🎁4u: PL shapefiles and employment by sector at micro-geographic grid-level for 381 MSAs and 125 global cities. All free to download from primelocations.ahlfeldt.com Use it wisely!😀

Für das Kurzarbeitergeld wie auch viele andere Interventionen in dem Arbeitsmarkt gilt: die Natur des zugrundeliegenden Schocks ist es was zählt. Aktuell wird versucht durch die Expansion des Kurzarbeitergeld ein Strukturwandel aufzufangen, das kann gut in die Hose gehen und im

Wir erwähnen es nur, aber mit Grafik ist es etwas prägnanter: ➡️ Die Kriminalitätsrate ist trotz der (fast) Verdoppelung des Ausländeranteils NIEDRIGER als vor einer Dekade

Die von uns (ifo Institut DIE ZEIT Mark Schieritz) gewählten Parameter wurden dem BSW vorab gesendet, mit der Bitte um Stellungnahme. Dem BSW war es nicht möglich, unsere Rückfragen zu beantworten. Das ist keine Wahlmanipulation sondern eher Unfähigkeit in der Partei...

How did the US become a land of opportunity? In a new paper, we show that the country's pioneering role in mass education was key to its rise in intergenerational mobility from 1850 to 1950. "America's Rise in Human Capital Mobility" with Harriet Brookes Gray & Hugo Reichardt

The gray line indicates when a video showing how to steal Kias and Hyundais went viral. In November, 2022, 65% of cars stolen in Chicago were those makes. Software and hardware fixes were released over the course of 2023. Just incredible data. via Jeff Asher.

Indications are that the economics PhD job market will be a difficult one this year. Below is one indication, which shows number of job openings by week. The exact same thing happened when I went on the job market years ago: I sent out 150 applications...and got 1 interview!