Wilford Brimley was no older than 49, and likely 48, when this was filmed. youtube.com/watch?v=Ep4LkZ…

So I load up on some long rainfall contracts then pay someone to fly a plane dispersing silver iodide. Deluge, flooding, I collect. Is that a good thing?

How much more would ASML be worth if it were a US company?

IMO this is perhaps the strongest argument against my critique of prediction markets.

I was 100% wrong about this. So far I'm 0 for 1 on SHA256 predictions with 2 more still to be resolved.

Good news! ChatGPT5 can vibe code a Notion replacement with 75% of the functionality, plus customizable to all your workflows and connections. Try it if you don't believe me. Literally tell it "write me a personal Notion replacement".

This response to my piece is thoughtful and makes a lot of good points. Also some I'd dispute, of course. I think I'd enjoy some sort of live debate on this question, if that could somehow be arranged.

Great traders usually don’t run newsletter/content/education businesses online. Pretty obvious why. Conversely, it is pretty obvious why a non profitable one would

Daniel Bloch, tell me you have no edge without telling me. Because HFT is famously the land of small sample sizes and low Sharpe.

Our new robot overlords, everyone. Just a couple of ticks from AGI, but the price axis is upside down for no apparent reason.

Many of you are probably too young to remember the reference. Even though, in many ways, this is the blueprint for how people like Zuck want the world to be.