Twitter Beğeni Hilesi

Happy to have a new NBER working paper this week, in which Julia Payson, Stan Veuger, and I analyze the effects of federal pandemic aid to state and local governments on the electoral outcomes of incumbent parties in statewide races: nber.org/papers/w32962 1/n

We find that incumbent parties performed very well in statewide pandemic-era elections, in particular when states received more generous allocations of federal fiscal aid. An additional $1,000 in aid per resident predicts a 3 percentage point increase in vote share. 2/n

Fascinating paper, and a great summary 🧵

New NBER: "Aid for Incumbents: The Electoral Consequences of COVID-19 Relief" by Jeffrey P. Clemens Stan Veuger nber.org/papers/w32962#…

🚨 New publicly available dataset on housing regulations across US municipalities With AlexBartik and Daniel Milo, we highlight a novel AI-based method for accurate categorization of regulations in unstructured text, which we use to establish 5 facts about housing regulation:

43 of 45 (95%) of economists recently surveyed by The University of Chicago agreed that "Imposing tariffs results in a substantial portion of the tariffs being borne by consumers of the country that enacts the tariffs, through price increases." (The only "disagree" actually said "it depends")

Join my fantastic department - we're hiring in health economics & health policy! This is a tenure track assistant prof job. If you are going on the market with a PhD in economics, health policy, public health, or a related field, it's likely a great fit. 🔗aeaweb.org/joe/listing.ph…

Some nuanced monetary policy commentary from Stan Veuger and Mikkel Davies. One insight: "When I tell you today what I will do tomorrow, tomorrow I will have based my action on what I knew yesterday, instead of actually reacting to the moment." foreignpolicy.com/2024/09/16/fed…

Here are our back-of-the-envelope estimates of which races would have gone the other way if every state had received as little federal aid as the most underrepresented state.

I'm presenting this paper on Friday at the 2024 Urban Economics Association Conference, at Georgetown. Session 3H (Local Public Finance: Political Economy) is the place to be from 1:30 to 3:30pm. We'll be in ICC 105.

Harris’s combined fiscal policies could add as much as $1.5 trillion to deficits over the next 10 years. Trump's could add as much as $4 trillion to deficits over the same period, and potentially more given the uncertainty of his tariff proposals.

Pleased to present a new Cato Institute Research Brief on my work with Jeffrey P. Clemens and Julia Payson on whether and how federal pandemic aid increased the incumbency advantage for statewide elected officials. Read it now, read it aloud! cato.org/research-brief…

"Aid for Incumbents: The Electoral Consequences of COVID-19 Relief" cato.org/research-brief… via Cato Institute Julia Payson Stan Veuger Jeffrey P. Clemens

Evaluating long-standing procurement limitations on the purchase of foreign products by the US Federal Government, from Matilde Bombardini, Andres Gonzalez Lira, Bingjing Li, and Chiara Motta nber.org/papers/w32953

Federal aid to state and local governments buoyed incumbents' electoral outcomes, strengthening incumbency advantage during the pandemic relative to pre-pandemic election cycles, from Jeffrey P. Clemens, Julia Payson, and Stan Veuger nber.org/papers/w32962

These figures are similar to cost-per-job estimates presented in my research with Vince Smith and Stephanie Mercier, Ph.D. #🟦. We find that a Buy American law for shipping (cargo preference) has a cost-per-job estimate of about $100,000 per mariner job-year retained. 🧵: x.com/phoxie58/statu…

It’s the 400th episode!!! What an incredible milestone for the amazing Amit Varma and for all the incredible guests who have been on his show. The listeners of TSATU are the most incredible and generous community on and offline. Keeping up with our tradition of anniversary

Happy to have this paper out in circulation.

Milei repeals rent controls in Argentina. The results in Buenos Aires since last October: - housing rental supply up 170% - rents down 40%

Econ 101 is underrated wsj.com/world/americas…