Rob Ford
@robfordmancs
Politics Prof, author "The British General Election of 2019" and "Brexitland"
Senior Fellow @UKandEU
My substack - "The Swingometer" - https://t.co/I4x2VwsRoF
ID:216122857
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Brexitland-Identity-Diversity-Reshaping-Politics/dp/1108473571 15-11-2010 21:16:04
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This is similar to the difference found when Opinium changed methodology (opinium.com/resource-cente…) and between YouGov's MRP and standard public polling (HT Chris Curtis Patrick English)
Could Conservative 'Don't Knows' be causing the next big polling error? owenwinter.co.uk/2024/01/20/cou…
Looking at Stack Data Strategy data, the decision to weight a survey before vs after excluding 'Don't Knows' is the difference between a 16% and 21% Labour lead:
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