Information on Twitter is lagging Kalshi Ideas by a few hours.

Should we rethink the tagline?

'X without BS' --> 'The news before the news'

Elon's weekend trip to China paid off big time!

Tesla shares are up more than 14% today!

Musk's net worth is up nearly $14 billion!

Will he reclaim the top spot on Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List by the end of the month?

For the last 14 years, Marvel has occupied the box office the first week of May. That changes this weekend with the release of #TheFallGuy , which is one of my most anticipated films of 2024.

Traders Kalshi are predicting The Fall Guy will have a Rotten Tomatoes score of 83.8,…

Another week, another big Rotten Tomatoes win. This was my best yet, winning in every bracket. Updated totals:
Ghostbusters: $2,482
Godzilla: -$11
First Omen: $144
Civil War: $3,343
Abigail: $676
Challengers: $3,829
Total: $10,463

📈| There is a 86% chance that Taylor Swift holds the entire Top 10 of the Billboard Hot 100 with #TTPD according to Kalshi

🖇️: kalshi.com/markets/topten…

Late night convo with Ali Partovi.

Kalshi says 18% chance that the unrealized gains tax passes.

Too low or too high?

Tarek Mansour Yo! this is slick

If you’re ever looking for a good degen rush, I recommend the stock market closing price markets on Kalshi. Today I had 2k on it closing below 5,100 and it crossed it literally in the last 5 seconds of the trading day and closed .04 points below it. Oh well, a win is a win!

Still one of the goats.

President Biden’s budget proposal calls for an increase in capital gains tax up to 44.6%! This would be the highest capital gains tax the US has ever seen.

There’s more: it also calls for a 25% tax on unrealized capital gains.

It’s only for households worth at least $100…

Fans think there’s a 21% chance George R.R. Martin will announce #TheWindsOfWinter release date this year

(via Kalshi)

Fed hiking rates this year pays 4:1 on Kalshi

Kalshi reactions

Tomorrow we will receive the first GDP reading for 2024:

It also happens to mark the most volatile quarter in over a year with inflation on the rise and geopolitical tensions worsening.

Prediction markets currently expect 2.7% GDP growth to be reported, according to Kalshi.…

I just heard someone go:

'I am short on the US education system'

How do we capture this in a Kalshi market?

This aged well...

Kalshi markets age well 🤯

$META numbers just came in.

Kalshi has now beat analysts for the 4 main earnings reports the past week.

The power of markets in all its might!

Family Daily Active People (DAP) - Key Metric

DAP - a measure of user activity across apps - is arguably the most important metric for $META's stock reaction

Consensus: 3.1B

Kalshi.com market dispersion favors a higher number:

Farewell to a great market 🫡

$TSLA just had a pretty rough quarter. What does that mean for the future?

I’m not following Tesla 24/7, but I find myself checking Kalshi markets regularly to get smarter about its future:

Q2 deliveries to beat expectations: 63% chance
Optimus on sale before 2026: 33%
Robotaxi…