The Real Bedford story is wild. Can’t wait to follow!

Nah

NEW w/ donato Jennifer Jacobs Alberto Nardelli

— Israel braced for possible attack from Iran either directly or via proxies in days

— expecting drones/missiles on govt targets

— could be next 48 hours

— move still not approved by Tehran

bloomberg.com/news/articles/…


Looking at some interim polling numbers like...

New from Ipsos UK: This one won't make headlines but it is so important for our understanding of the coming General Election campaign.

18-34s most likely to get news about politics and current affairs from social media.

MORE ipsos.com/en-uk/half-of-…

NEW from Ipsos UK on the Royals:

- Public most favourable towards Catherine and William ❤️
- Harry and Meghan remain in net negative territory 😡
- 11% have a favourable opinion of Andrew 👀

More ipsos.com/en-uk/latest-a…

NEW from Ipsos UK: Would it be better or worse for Britain if the Monarchy were abolished?

Better 24%
No difference 31%
Worse 38%

So more worse than better or a minority saying worse. Depending on how you want to spin it.

More here ipsos.com/en-uk/latest-a…

Begging political Twitter to internalise that MRP models are hyper sensitive to polling shifts and inputted assumptions and that confidence intervals on individual seats are usually pretty big 🙏

Useful yes but uncertainty important to understand

I had forgotten my favourite OJ Simpson fact (probably my favourite fact), OJ Simpson was a sprinter before becoming an American footballer, he took part in a race in 1967 won by a British athlete who ran under 10.2s for the second time that year

That athlete, Ming Campbell

NEW: Police have launched an investigation into Labour’s deputy leader Angela Rayner.

She’s been accused of not obeying electoral law and failing to pay capital gains tax owed following a house sale some years ago, something she denies.

Greater Manchester Police: “We’re…

Friday morning with Maddison Avenue then gym 🏃

Morning. This is superb!

Absolutely abysmal set of results for operation 5th = Champions league tonight 🙁

Keiran Pedley Intense repetition of 'long term economic plan' became the butt of a lot of jokes amongst the highly engaged but worked a charm for Cameron and the Tories in 2015. Especially when in mocking it, people say it more, thus spreading it even further.

Reality is most don’t pay attention to politics like us politicos do. Repetition of key message important. See Johnson ‘get Brexit done’ in ‘19.

📢 Political trends and podcasts a-plenty on our brand new Ipsos UK opinion polls site. Includes latest Scotland polling data and trends over time for parties, leaders and independence/staying in the Union - enjoy! 🔖
ipsos.com/en-uk/uk-opini…

ICYMI yesterday. Ipsos UK data shows 55% think protesting outside MPs homes unacceptable.

Should be food for thought for various protest groups. Some say no such thing as bad publicity but I’m not so sure.

Regardless, public attitudes to protest clearly not binary.

Should say I don't think this would materially impact the outcome in terms of who wins just that I can see Lib Dems / Green / Reform gaining in a campaign.

Micah is absolutely loving this!

Honestly think one of the biggest wildcards of this election could be if large numbers of voters look at both and decide they want neither. Either staying at home or jumping to other parties in the process.