NYT: Polls have shown Trump with an edge for eight straight months, but his advantage might not be as stable as it looks: His lead is built on voters who don’t regularly vote. Biden has led the last three NYT/Siena national polls among those who voted in the 2020 election

Of course Trump drew a big crowd in NYC because … NYC is crowded

Sure, the percentage of Trump’s vote share was low there in 2020 —23%— but he 692k people to vote for him in the city

That’s a big pool of potential rally-goers

Notes from Trump rally in the Bronx:

— unusually diverse crowd for a rally, w hispanics, asians, orthodox jews

— very NY-centric speech, touching on Wollman rink, grocery prices

— clearly higher attendance than the permit allowed

Trump’s rally had a max capacity limit, so maybe a thousand are still outside the Secret Service perimeter more than an hour later — though a steady stream of people is now entering… to replace the steady stream of people leaving

TRUMP is scheduled to appear shortly for his rally in South Bronx, NY — sound track is Macho Man and YMCA. Meanwhile maybe a thousand people haven’t made it past Secret Service screening, unclear whether Trump will wait for them to make it into the park where it’s being held

Here’s a big reason why Trump is currently ahead in swing states. Almost 60% of voters think BIden has some or all lot of control over inflation and costs, but just 40% trust him to lower them in 2nd term. Compared to 60% who think Trump will lower them. cookpolitical.com/sites/default/…

When asked during a radio interview why he didn’t testify. Trump responds, 'Why testify when they have no case?'

Trump also raised concern that prosecutors could “bring up anything” from the past. Adds he has a “great past.”

WASHINGTON (AP) — Former Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley says she will vote for Trump in November election.

I've read the entire unsealed ruling and there's nothing new in it. Hugo reported all this a long time ago, and we discussed it on the The Daily Beans Podcast

It's cool to have all that reporting confirmed with this newly unsealed order, though.

This was the incident where Trump aide Chamberlain Harris — known as ROTUS, short for Receptionist of the United States — scanned and uploaded classified docs onto her laptop

Guardian reported this contemporaneously last year, as did CNN: theguardian.com/us-news/2023/f…

We broke the story a month after it happened that Trump had been subpoenaed again in the classified docs case for the Classified Evening Summary folder — and that Trump’s lawyers made additional productions to DOJ

Guardian exclusive from last year: amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/f…

Trump previously told Olivia Rubin he 'would have no problem testifying.'

New: Outside the courthouse, Don Jr attacked a question about why Trump didn’t testify in his own defense: “Why would you justify this insanity? You don’t subject yourself to that. You’re going in a kangaroo court, nothing more nothing less.“