Trump endorses against Rep. Dan Newhouse who voted to impeach him

Congratulations to Keith Olbermann for winning the world's biggest hack title in this year's #hackmadness !

Thanks again to Comfortably Smug.

Check out the latest episode of the progrum: youtu.be/BbQ3t64vQt8?si…

Want to know what's up with the Senate and House primaries this spring? Then listen to Inside Elections' Jacob Rubashkin on this week's episode of Beyond the Polls!!! Plus an epic attack ad of the week that goes THERE and THERE and THERE!!

ricochet.com/podcast/beyond…

There are lots of reasons to wonder if Donald Trump can beat Joe Biden.

His performance in the most recent primaries isn’t one of them. | Henry Olsen trib.al/uDPUIyW

Prob the most striking finding was that the 2nd-best predictor of being a Biden 2020/Trump 2024 swing voter (after being young) was being a non-white parent of a child under 18. V big effect size on a solid sample (2K weighted non-white parents, ~200 Biden-Trump flippers). 7/n

‘China now absorbs 38MTpa of coal to produce 10MTpa of oil products (200kbpd), growing at 8% pa to 2026. Coal-to-liquids are high-cost, 3x more CO2 intensive than oil, only really makes sense from a geopolitical/military perspective’ ⁦ThunderSaidEnergy⁩ preview.mailerlite.io/preview/741255…

NEW | A pro-Russian & Wagner Group–linked African outlet claimed that Russian Africa Corps soldiers will “soon” deploy to Niger, supporting CTP’s assessment that the Nigerien junta may contract Russian soldiers to help fill the gaps left by departing Western assistance. 1/4

On the latest episode of Beyond the Polls, Henry Olsen talks to Scarlett Maguire about her team's polling methods and how to make more accurate election predictions.

ricochet.com/podcast/beyond…

New: Speaker Johnson announces $20 million-plus fundraising haul for Q1, per announcement first shared with Politico.

It is the first full quarter he’s served as speaker politico.com/live-updates/2…

Using this giant dataset, we fit a LASSO logistic regression to predict 2-party vote intention. It now lives at an interactive (economist.com/us-voter), where u can plug in any combo of 8 demographic variables & see estimated Trump/Biden probabilities for both 2020 & 2024 14/n

Basically, income still makes voters more Republican, while education makes them less Republican. But because income and education are so strongly correlated, high-income white voters are now less Republican than middle-income white voters.

ROK, Seat counts, proportional list

PFP (Conservative): 18
DAK (Liberal|Centre-left|Left): 13
KIP (Liberal): 12
RP (Centre): 1
NFP (Centre): 0
GJP (Centre-left|Green): 0
Others (*): 0

#SouthKorea #22대총선
➤asiaelects.com/republic-of-ko…

The Arizona supreme court has ruled that a 19th-century abortion ban, with an exception only for the life of the mother, remains in force.

How will the state GOP deal with a likely referendum in November proposing a 'right' to abortion? | Dan McLaughlin

trib.al/h0s2AP6

ROK, Seat leads, constituency

DPK (Liberal): 161 (+3)
PPP (Conservative): 90 (-3)
PP (Left): 1 (-)
NFP (Centre): 1 (-)
RP (Centre): 1 (-)
GJP (Centre-left|Green): 0 (-)
...

+/- vs. 91.59% ballot boxes opened

#SouthKorea #22대총선
➤asiaelects.com/republic-of-ko…

Alex גדעון בן װעלװל Prof. Chemerinsky’s statement.
law.berkeley.edu/article/statem…

Cornel West’s VP pick has said Republicans, Trump voters, the late Queen, and fans of Taylor Swift are all racist.

Read more from Laurel Duggan on Melina Abdullah 👇
buff.ly/43S99jQ

The pro-life movement has often lauded Abraham Lincoln's statesmanship, but now finds itself led by an heir to Stephen Douglas. 1/

Over the last four years, Hilary Cass has conducted the most robust review of the medical evidence for transitioning children that's ever been conducted. Mere hours after it was released to the press and public, committed ideologues are doubling down. 1/6

I cannot recommend enough Henry Olsen's column on the upcoming Florida abortion referendum. Activists should be targeting the median voter - with some concerns about abortion, but also concerns about going 'too far' - rather than the conservative base: nationalreview.com/2024/04/how-pr…