Iceland, Prósent poll:

Presidential election

Baldur (*): 29% (-27)
Katrín (*): 25% (new)
Gnarr (*): 19% (new)
Halla Hrund (*): 12% (new)
Halla Tómasdóttir (*): 5% (-30)
Arnar Þór (*): 3% (-9)
Steinunn (*): 3% (new)
Ásdís Rán (*): 1% (-7)
…

+/- vs. 27 March 2024

Fieldwork:…

Spain, Simple Lógica poll:

PP-EPP: 36%
PSOE-S&D: 31% (+1)
VOX-ECR: 12% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 10% (-2)
Podemos-LEFT: 2%

+/- vs. 1-8 March 2024

Fieldwork: 1-9 April 2024
Sample size: 1,042
➤ europeelects.eu/spain

Finland, Verian poll:

SDP-S&D: 22% (+2)
Kok.-EPP: 20% (-1)
PS-ECR: 18% (-1)
Kesk.-RE: 11% (-1)
Vas.-LEFT: 9%
Vihr.-G/EFA: 8%
KD-EPP: 4%
SFP-RE: 4%
Liik.~NI: 2%

+/- vs. February-March 2024

Fieldwork: 18 March-12 April 2024
Sample size: 2,226

➤europeelects.eu/finland

Poland, OGB poll:

PiS-ECR: 35% (+2)
KO-EPP|RE|G/EFA: 33% (-1)
TD PL2050/PSL-RE|EPP: 13% (-2)
Kon~NI|ID: 10% (+1)
Lewica-S&D: 4% (-1)
BS-*: 2% (-1)
PJJ-*: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 12-15 February 2024

Fieldwork: 3-5 April 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ europeelects.eu/poland

51 days until the first day of the EU Parliament election. #ep2024

Europe Elects found intelligence on EU Parliament group affiliations for all but one party relevant to our projection: this party is Plefsi Eleftherias (Course of Freedom) from #Greece .

💥 NEW projection for the EU Parliament, with 51 days to go until election day.

Centre-right EPP: 184
Centre-left S&D: 139 (+4)
Right-wing ID: 84 (+2)
Liberal-centrist RE: 84 (-3)
National-conservative ECR: 82 (+1)
Greens/EFA: 52
Non-Inscrits: 52 (+4)
Left (Baier): 40 (-7)

+/-…

Malta, Sagalytics poll:

European Parliament election

PL-S&D: 52% (-3)
PN-EPP: 42% (+5)

+/- vs. 2019 election

Fieldwork: 8-12 April 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤europeelects.eu/malta

Malta, MaltaToday poll:

European Parliament election

PL-S&D: 53% (+5)
PN-EPP: 43% (+2)

+/- vs. 26 January-5 February 2024

Fieldwork: 7-21 March 2024
Sample size: 657

➤europeelects.eu/malta

Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 23% (+1)
I→EPP: 14% (+1)
F-G/EFA: 14% (-1)
Æ→ECR: 10%
V-RE: 9%
Ø-LEFT: 8% (+1)
M-RE: 7% (+1)
B-RE: 5%
C-EPP: 5% (-1)
O-ID: 3% (-1)
Å→G/EFA: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 1-7 April 2024

Fieldwork: 8-14 April 2024
Sample size: 1,001

➤…

Bulgaria, Market Links poll:

GERB/SDS-EPP: 26% (-1)
PP/DB-RE|EPP|G/EFA: 17% (-8)
V~NI: 10% (-4)
DPS-RE: 12% (-2)
BSPzB-S&D: 9%
ITN-ECR: 4%

+/- vs. February 2024

Fieldwork: 30 March-7 April 2024
Sample size: 1,046
➤ europeelects.eu/bulgaria/

Spain (European Parliament election), SocioMétrica poll:

PP-EPP: 38% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 26% (-3)
VOX-ECR: 11% (+1)
Sumar-G/EFA|LEFT: 7% (-1)
AR-G/EFA|LEFT: 6% (+2)
Junts-NI: 3% (-2)
Podemos-LEFT: 2%
CEUS-RE: 2% (+1)
CS-RE: 2% (+1)

+/- vs. 20-24 November 2023

Fieldwork: 9-12 April…

Spain, SocioMétrica poll:

PP-EPP: 39% (-1)
PSOE-S&D: 27% (-1)
VOX-ECR: 11%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 8% (-2)
Podemos-LEFT: 3% (n.a.)
Junts-NI: 2%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 5-9 March 2024

Fieldwork: 9-12 April 2024
Sample size: 2,550
➤…

Czechia, Kantar poll:

Scenario: SPOLU as a single list

ANO-RE: 36% (-3)
SPOLU-ECR|EPP: 22% (+2)
Piráti-G/EFA: 11% (+1)
SPD-ID: 8% (-1)
STAN-EPP: 7%
SocDem-S&D: 3% (-1)
KSČM-LEFT: 3%
Svobodní-NI: 2% (-1)
Přísaha→EPP: 3% (n.a.)
PRO-*: 2% (n.a.)
Zelení-G/EFA: 2% (n.a.)

+/- vs.…

Czechia, Kantar poll:

ANO-RE: 35% (-4)
ODS-ECR: 16% (+1)
Piráti-G/EFA: 11% (+1)
SPD-ID: 8% (-1)
STAN-EPP: 7%
TOP09-EPP: 5%
SocDem-S&D: 3%
KSČM-LEFT: 3%
KDU/ČSL-EPP: 3% (+1)
Přísaha→EPP: 3% (n.a.)
Svobodní-NI: 3% (+1)
PRO-*: 2% (n.a.)
Zelení-G/EFA: 2% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 12 February…

UK (GB), We Think poll:

LAB-S&D: 44% (-1)
CON~ECR: 24%
REFORM~NI: 11% (-2)
LDEM-RE: 9% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 6% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 4-5 April 2024

Fieldwork: 11–12 April 2024
Sample size: 1,271

europeelects.eu/uk

UK (GB), Savanta poll:

LAB-S&D: 42% (-3)
CON~ECR: 27% (+3)
LDEM-RE: 10%
REFORM~NI: 10% (-2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%

+/- vs. 25-27 March 2024

Fieldwork: 5–7 April 2024
Sample size: 2,210

europeelects.eu/uk

UK (GB), Techne poll:

LAB-S&D: 44% (-1)
CON~ECR: 23% (+1)
REFORM~NI: 12% (-1)
LDEM-RE: 10% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 5%
SNP-G/EFA: 3%

+/- vs. 3-4 April 2024

Fieldwork: 10–11 April 2024
Sample size: 1,630

europeelects.eu/uk