J. Miles Coleman
@JMilesColeman
Associate Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball. 'A political Dora the Explorer.' @LSU grad. Author, America Votes 35. He/him
ID:92985745
https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ 27-11-2009 15:09:30
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𧡠on VA-7 Democratic primary to follow up on some things I said on Pod Virginiaπ
This is an open seat after Rep. Spanberger retired to run for Governor
It stretches from NOVA suburbs in PWC to rural Central Virginia
It is a competitive, but blue leaning seat in General
1/6
#ElectionTwitter Here's a map of the average margin by county in Ohio from 1972-2012. During this period, Democrats were strong in the industrial northeast and the coal mining areas in Appalachia, while the Republicans dominated in the suburbs and rural western Ohio.
J. Miles Coleman If Evers did appoint a replacement, there would need to be a special election the first year a Supreme Court race was not scheduled to be held (so 2031).
Definitely a weird decision, but maybe she doesn't feel up to the campaigning. A lot has changed for SC races since 2015
Care to take a (possible) peek into the future? From Kyle Kondik for Larry Sabato Center for Politics at UVA (the Center is now 25). A great deal of realignment has occurred--will it continue, and what part of the base will it alter?
An Electoral College Time Capsule centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/anβ¦
Glad to be back on Pod Virginiaπ to talk upcoming VA Congressional primaries on June 18
Early voting starts on May 3
We discussed
VA Senate
VA-2
VA-5
VA-7
VA-10
VA-11
Even though Virginia wonβt be a top presidential battleground, still lots happening
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/podβ¦
Democratic advertisers have a significant head start in fall reservations for Presidential, Senate, and House generals. While these totals are sure to even out, here's a look at current Aug-Nov reservations.
President:
π΅$130M π΄$0
Senate:
π΅$256M π΄$129M
House:
π΅$77.4M π΄$348K