Chart: Dramatic changes in approval and familiarity for Andy Street in the West Midlands.

But read: How seriously should you take this poll?
sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/west-m…

West Midlands mayoral voting intention:
[candidate name's prompted]

LAB: 43% (+1)
CON: 37% (+9)
LDEM: 8% (+1)
GRN: 5% (-2)
REF: 4% (-9)

via Redfield & Wilton Strategies, 22 Apr
Chgs. w/ 10 Apr

Read Ben Walker's analysis on how to read this new poll
sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/west-m…

It's the last by-election Thursday of this municipal year!
- 2 polls today, defences 1 Lab 1 free-for-all
- A village in Angus with a half-German name
- And why 25th April might not be the perfect date in Cardiff...
Andrew's Previews for @britainelects:
medium.com/britainelects/…

📊 Labour lead at 16pts
Westminster voting intention

LAB: 43% (-)
CON: 27% (+2)
REF: 10% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (-1)
GRN: 4% (-)

via Savanta UK, 19 Apr
buff.ly/3RtUuW6

And among 2019 Conservative voters...

Just 54% would be satisfied with another Con win
And 55% would be dissatisfied with a Lab win

27% would be satisfied with a Lab win

Read more by BE's Ben Walker:
sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/the-re…

If Labour wins the next election, do you think you will be better or worse off than otherwise?

Better: 27%
Worse: 32%
The same: 29%

via Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Read more: buff.ly/3W6bQMD

If the Conservatives win the next election, do you think you will be better or worse off than otherwise?

Better: 14%
Worse: 46%
The same: 34%

via Redfield & Wilton Strategies
Read more: buff.ly/3W6bQMD

Is Labour really leading by 20pts?

Public satisfaction if X win the next election...
LAB: 42%
CON: 30%
Lab lead: 12pts

Public dissatisfaction if X win...
CON: 50%
LAB: 33%
Con lead: 17pts

What does this tell us? Read Ben Walker:
buff.ly/3W6bQMD

Britain Predicts expects a Labour gain in Blackpool South by 20pts over the Conservatives.

50% Lab to 30% Con and 14% Reform.

But Blackpool won't be safe Labour forever.

Read this from Ben Walker:
buff.ly/3JsuhDJ

Can Andy Street keep the West Midlands for the Conservatives?

> 50% of voters don't have an opinion of him
> Just 19% say they're very familiar with who he is
> But Labour are underperforming here
> and Reform vote can be squeezed

Read Ben Walker: buff.ly/4aQCCgQ

📊 Labour lead at 16pts
Westminster voting intention

LAB: 43% (-2)
CON: 27% (+2)
REF: 12% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (-)
GRN: 5% (-)

via Deltapoll, 19 Apr
buff.ly/3RtUuW6

📊 Labour lead at 23pts
Westminster voting intention

LAB: 43% (-1)
CON: 20% (-2)
REF: 14% (-1)
LDEM: 12% (+3)
GRN: 6% (-)

via Redfield & Wilton Strategies, 21 Apr
buff.ly/3RtUuW6

West Midlands mayoral election, voting intention:

LAB: 42% (+2)
CON: 28% (-21)
REF: 13% (+11)
GRN: 7% (+1)
LDEM: 7% (+3)

via Redfield & Wilton Strategies, 10 - 14 Apr
Chgs. w/ 2021 election

Read Ben Walker on why you should pay attention to this poll:
buff.ly/4aQCCgQ

New post: Andy Street is not the household name you think he is, which explains the likelihood he will lose, narrowly or not, on 2nd May.
sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/04/west-m…

📊 Labour lead at 16pts
Westminster voting intention

LAB: 41% (-)
CON: 25% (-)
REF: 13% (+2)
LDEM: 10% (-)
GRN: 7% (-1)

via Opinium, 19 Apr
buff.ly/3RtUuW6

📊 Labour lead at 18pts
Westminster voting intention

LAB: 44% (-1)
CON: 26% (-)
LDEM: 11% (+1)
REF: 8% (-1)
GRN: 4% (-)

via Survation., 17 Apr
sotn.newstatesman.com/2023/08/britai…

📊 Labour lead at 25pts
Westminster voting intention

LAB: 44% (-3)
CON: 19% (-1)
REF: 13% (+5)
GRN: 9% (+1)
LDEM: 9% (-)

via Ipsos UK, 15 Apr
buff.ly/3RtUuW6

📊 Labour lead at 20pts
Westminster voting intention

LAB: 45% (+1)
CON: 25% (-1)
REF: 11% (-)
LDEM: 9% (-)
GRN: 5% (-1)

via Deltapoll, 15 Apr
buff.ly/3RtUuW6

📊 Labour lead at 23pts
Westminster voting intention

LAB: 44% (-1)
CON: 21% (+2)
REF: 14% (-1)
GRN: 8% (+1)
LDEM: 8% (-)

via YouGov, 17 Apr
buff.ly/3RtUuW6

Farnham Castle (Waverley) council by-election result:

RES: 32.5% (-17.6)
LDEM: 29.6% (+29.6)
LAB: 23.0% (-11.7)
CON: 14.9% (-0.2)

Valid votes cast: 944

Residents' Association HOLD.
buff.ly/3JqSFpp