[1/2] Forecasting questions can be tricky to ask — and even trickier to analyze — whether they’re posed to humans or AI agents. With EDSL, you can design forecasting questions in any format (ranges, rationales, or free text) and still get back a standardized dataset that’s easy

this is authentic and deeply touching. had to read it twice.

Paul Krugman called this “listen to the gentiles” & it’s fantastic advice

It has arrived. Out in December. Cover by me with ChatGPT assistance.

A survivor of the 2020 Job Market here. Thank you David Van Dijcke

Why does the naked mole rat have the longest lifespan and healthspan of any rodent, nearly 40 years? A 30-year long mystery unraveled Science Magazine today! Its cGAS enzyme in cells has 4 missense mutations that upends its function, promoting DNA repair and suppressing

You can just prompt things! And we want to make it easier for everyone to use these methods. As such, we're very excited for Expected Parrot (YC F25) to be part of the Fall YC Batch!

This is absolutely lovely to listen to.

What a great day: legends of innovation economics Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion, and Peter Howitt win the Nobel. Joel was a PhD advisor of mine, so I need more than just social media for all the stories and historiography. Essay link below.

(1/11) How do AI agents change markets? We speculate on this topic in our new article for the NBER “Economics of Transformative AI” volume with Gili Rusak, Benjamin Manning, Andrey Fradkin, and John Horton: “The Coasean Singularity? Demand, Supply, and Market Design with AI Agents”

I am very proud of Manuela Collis 🇺🇦, who is currently on the job market. I am biased, but this is a super impressive job-market paper on a difficult topic, with painstaking data-collection efforts that I have seen her undertake over the past couple of years. Check out more of her

I'm on the academic job market! My research examines the implications of exclusionary environments for individuals' careers, team performance, and organizations—with a focus on knowledge work. In my JMP, I study how sexual misconduct affects scientific production.

“For a glorious decade in the 2010s, we all worked on better neural network architectures, but after that we just worked on scaling transformers and making them more efficient”

If average work hours per person fall dramatically in the future due to AI is that more likely to be because: 1. AI substitutes for labor, market-clearing wage falls below zero, people not hired. 2. AI complements labor, wages rise, income effects so people don't work as much.

Expected Parrot just launched on Y Combinator's Launch YC! Expected Parrot: Simulate your customers with AI agents. Check them out: ycombinator.com/launches/Ol2-e…

My question to Matt Stoller made some waves. What was perhaps buried in the thread was an excellent reply that pointed me towards recent work by Gormsen & Huber (AER 2025) arguing that market power distorts corporate discount rates and explains missing investment.

This is fantastic news! Rotman is unstoppable 🚀 Congrats Jacquelyn Pless!

This is the kind of balanced perspective conducive to productive debate on social implications of tech innovation. This form of thinking should not be new, but unfortunately feels so when it comes to AI. Even life saving drugs can have sever limitations (side effects).

I have read countless Harvard Business School studies for Acquired research. It is insanely cool to have one written on Acquired Podcast *itself*. David Rosenthal hbs.edu/faculty/Pages/…

Worth a pin on [your favorite virtual board]. 👌🏼