Steven Rattner
@SteveRattner
Former head of Obama Auto Task Force. Wall Street financier. Contributing Writer to NY Times Op-Ed. Morning Joe Economic Analyst. 🌐
ID:401625957
http://stevenrattner.com 30-10-2011 20:51:15
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Unemployment has ticked up slightly over the last year, though we remain at historically low levels. (27 consecutive months below 4%, the longest such stretch since the 1960s!) Morning Joe
One reason the Fed feels comfortable keeping rates high is that the economy remains strong. Jobs growth averaged 275K per month in 2024 Q1.
(Even April’s relative slowdown to 175K is still in line with 2018-19 growth.) Morning Joe
Between high wage growth and high spending growth, the domestic economy has a lot of demand left in it.
That’s good for workers but a challenge in the fight to tame inflation. Morning Joe
A higher Fed Funds rate means higher mortgage rates and higher yields on treasuries (increasing gov’t borrowing costs), with both measures climbing from recent lows. Morning Joe
A rebound in hot inflation data has drastically changed the outlook for interest rates in recent months, with markets expecting rates to remain higher for longer. Morning Joe
I'll be on Morning Joe in a few with an economic update – interest rates, inflation, jobs, and more.