Finding it hard to believe that this was one year ago today... The last skill I learnt in my PhD was how to use a spiral binder, and I did it very wrong the first time -- which pretty much sums up doing a PhD, really.

Great view from Harlem’s Riverbank State Park of a stationary/training severe thunderstorm currently producing flash flooding over east-central New Jersey #NYwx #NJwx

This year is what a Northern Hemisphere summer looks like at “only” ~1.26°C of global warming.

Worrying! Latest ECMWF seasonal model forecast favours below normal rainfall in Southern Britain right through the Autumn - here are the probabilities (%) of below normal precip for the next 4 months #drought

If media downplay heatwave dangers, and climate change, people die. The recent UK extreme heat had frighteningly naive reporting, trolling, shaming, and clear parallels with #DontLookUp Leonardo DiCaprio. Dr Eunice Lo & I discuss the evidence in The BMJ bmj.com/content/378/bm…

Albany, NY has officially reached 99 degrees. This makes today only one of 11 days on record (1938-present) to have a high temperature of 99 or higher in Albany, NY.

The last 99F day was 21 July 2011.
The last 100F day was 3 Sept 1953 - nearly 70 years ago!

The UK (well England really) is reasonably resilient from a drinking water perspective to single season drought due to existing infrastructure & aquifer reserves.

The real risk is one covering 2 summers with little winter recharge.

Watch out when that happens!

Persistence of dry seasons will determine whether we get dry to wet 'see-saws' or multi-year droughts. Spring/autumn rainfall are crucial for river flows.

Our HESS Journal paper showed how continued dry conditions in 2012 could have broken drought records doi.org/10.5194/hess-2…