🚨 NEW: Starmer's satisfaction rating falls to -31.

This is his lowest EVER net approval rating with Ipsos.

✅ Satisfied 25% (-4)
❌ Dissatisfied 56% (+1)

Via Ipsos UK, 3-15 April (+/- vs February)

🚨 NEW: Labour lead by 25%, majority of 402

🟥 LAB 44% (-3)
🟦 CON 19% (-1)
🟪 REF 13% (+5)
🟧 LD 9% (=)
🟩 GRN 9% (+1)

Via Ipsos UK, 3-15 April (+/- vs 21-28 February)

🗳️ Projection for East Midlands Mayor:

🟥 LAB 42%
🟦 CON 32%
🟪 REF 10%
🟧 LD 8%
🟩 GRN 7%

Labour GAIN (new position)

🚨 NEW: Angela Rayner's net favourability drops to -19

✅ Favourable 24% (-2)
❌ Unfavourable 43% (+10)

Lowest net rating for Rayner on record.

Via YouGov, 12-14 April (+/- vs October 2023)

🗳️ Projected result of West Yorkshire Mayor election:

🟥 LAB 52% (+9)
🟦 CON 16% (-13)
🟩 GRN 11% (+2)
🟧 LD 7% (+2)
⬜️ OTH 14% (=)

Labour HOLD (11% swing)

🗳️ Projected result for West Midlands Police Commissioner:

🟥 LAB: 68% (+23)
🟦 CON 32% (-7)

Labour HOLD (15% swing to Labour)

🗳️ Projected result for Surrey Police Commissioner:

🟧 LD 41% (+20)
🟥 LAB 29% (+13)
🟦 CON 29% (-5)
⬜️ OTH 1% (-28)

Lib Dem GAIN from Conservative (9% swing)

🚨 NEW: Poll suggests crushing defeat for the Tory Mayor in the West Midlands.

🟥 LAB 42% (+2)
🟦 CON 28% (-21)
🟪 REF 13% (+11)
🟩 GRN 7% (+1)
🟧 LD 7% (+3)

Via Redfield & Wilton Strategies, 10-14 April (+/- vs 2021)

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Holyrood seat estimate (based on poll averages):

🟨 SNP: 49 (-15)
🟥 LAB: 43 (+21)
🟦 CON: 19 (-12)
🟩 GRN: 10 (+2)
🟧 LD: 8 (+4)

Result: Hung Parliament

🗳️ Projected result for Cleveland Police Commissioner:

🟥 LAB 51% (+22)
🟦 CON 49% (-5)

Labour GAIN from Conservative (13.5% swing)

🇵🇸 How Palestine would vote in legislative elections:

🟩 Hamas: 60% (-9)
🟨 Fatah: 28% (+2)
⬛️ Others: 12% (+7)

Via PCPSR survey, 5 -10 March 2024 (+/- vs Dec 2023)

🚨 NEW: Former Conservative Chancellor Ken Clarke has praised Rachel Reeves for keeping Labour 'under control'.

He told the FT: 'Rachel does seem to be keeping the Labour party broadly under control'.