profile-img
JWExTheSpa

@SpaJw

Redistribution ✊️ Nationalism 🤬🤮 Spurs 🤢😱 Labour 🥴 Mostly losing; not giving up! London-born, SW-based, 20 happy Midlands years. España en mi corazón

calendar_today30-08-2014 16:34:35

153,6K Tweets

6,3K Followers

742 Following

JWExTheSpa(@SpaJw) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Does Jeremy Corbyn have a big personal vote in Islington North?
In 2019, he got 64.3% of the vote in the constituency, down 8.7% on 2017
Next door in Holborn & St Pancras, Keir Starmer got 64.5% of the vote, down 5.6%

account_circle
JWExTheSpa(@SpaJw) 's Twitter Profile Photo

@JMagosh James Austin If Corbyn had a large personal vote, wouldn't he be outperforming Labour results in similar London seats? Where is the evidence that is the case? At the last election, he actually did worse.

account_circle
JWExTheSpa(@SpaJw) 's Twitter Profile Photo

JWExTheSpa @JMagosh James Austin The party leader often does worse because they spend less time in their own seat. (Cf. Jo Swinson, the only Lib Dem MP in Scotland not to increase her vote, fatally so, in 2019)

account_circle
JWExTheSpa(@SpaJw) 's Twitter Profile Photo

JWExTheSpa @JMagosh James Austin But think also ultimately one problem with 'personal vote' chat is it conflates a lot of really important thing: i.e. Douglas Carswell demonstrably did not have a personal vote but he basically took over his entire association and infrastructure when he defected.

account_circle
JWExTheSpa(@SpaJw) 's Twitter Profile Photo

JWExTheSpa @JMagosh James Austin Again with Corbyn, has he done better than people in comparable seats since 1983? No. Could he take over councillors, activists and important infrastructure? Yes. And that's the actually important 'personal vote' bit.

account_circle
JWExTheSpa(@SpaJw) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Stephen Bush JWExTheSpa @JMagosh True - but those councillors/activists etc would, essentially, be removing themselves from Labour (and probably from office) longer term. I'm not entirely convinced the local party is that Corbyn aligned as people say either

account_circle