As one would expect from an ancestrally Democratic area, there are a number of Democratic county officials in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan. However, these Dem officeholders are not evenly distributed as their presence aligns with higher concentrations of Finnish-Americans.

🧵 on VA-7 Democratic primary to follow up on some things I said on Pod Virginia🎙

This is an open seat after Rep. Spanberger retired to run for Governor

It stretches from NOVA suburbs in PWC to rural Central Virginia

It is a competitive, but blue leaning seat in General

1/6

J. Miles Coleman Funnily enough, Reagan came closer to winning MN than Moore did in AL

#ElectionTwitter Here's a map of the average margin by county in Ohio from 1972-2012. During this period, Democrats were strong in the industrial northeast and the coal mining areas in Appalachia, while the Republicans dominated in the suburbs and rural western Ohio.

Law student btw

Wisconsinites when it’s been the most important election of their lives every six months for the last eight years

Cleo Fields raises big dollars to start congressional campaign in newly drawn district in Louisiana, but will judges reject map? #lalege #lagov theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/ne… via The Advocate

J. Miles Coleman If Evers did appoint a replacement, there would need to be a special election the first year a Supreme Court race was not scheduled to be held (so 2031).

Definitely a weird decision, but maybe she doesn't feel up to the campaigning. A lot has changed for SC races since 2015

HUGE SCOWIS news this morning:

🚨🚨 OJ Simpson has just been registered as a Democrat voter in Fulton County, GA - TMZ

Care to take a (possible) peek into the future? From Kyle Kondik for Larry Sabato Center for Politics at UVA (the Center is now 25). A great deal of realignment has occurred--will it continue, and what part of the base will it alter?
An Electoral College Time Capsule centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/an…

Crystal Ball - An Electoral College Time Capsule; a look at how the map has changed in two 25-year intervals centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/an…

Glad to be back on Pod Virginia🎙 to talk upcoming VA Congressional primaries on June 18

Early voting starts on May 3

We discussed

VA Senate
VA-2
VA-5
VA-7
VA-10
VA-11

Even though Virginia won’t be a top presidential battleground, still lots happening

podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/pod…

What's happening in Ohio and Alabama, where GOP officials have said that Biden/Harris might not qualify for the ballot?

I can explain. Basically, the DNC is coming after state deadlines that, in the past, these states have changed/waived. (1/2)
semafor.com/article/04/10/…

#New project out.

2024 Presidential polling averages.

Trump has a slight lead in the national polling right now, but moving towards Biden.

projects.jhkforecasts.com/2024/president…
...

Democratic advertisers have a significant head start in fall reservations for Presidential, Senate, and House generals. While these totals are sure to even out, here's a look at current Aug-Nov reservations.

President:
🔵$130M 🔴$0
Senate:
🔵$256M 🔴$129M
House:
🔵$77.4M 🔴$348K