🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL: Pew Research Center

🟥 Trump 49%
🟦 Biden 48%
—
Biden
🟢 Approve 35%
🔴 Disapprove 62%
—
Crosstabs
• White: Trump 56-42%
• Black: Biden 77-18%
• Hispanic: Biden 52-44%
• Asian: Biden 59-36%
• Ages 18-29: Biden 59-38%
• Ages 65+: Trump 52-45%
• Post grad:

🇺🇲 SWING STATES GE: MC/Bloomberg

NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 51% (+10)
🟦 Biden 41%
---
🟥 Trump 48% (+10)
🟦 Biden 38%
🟨 RFK Jr 5%
🟪 Other 2%
—
Generic Ballot
🟥 GOP 47% (+5)
🟦 DEM 42%
——
NEVADA
🟥 Trump 51% (+8)
🟦 Biden 43%
---
🟥 Trump 48% (+14)
🟦 Biden 34%
🟨 RFK Jr 7%

🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL: Quinnipiac

🟦 Biden 46% [-2]
🟥 Trump 46% [+1]

• January: Biden +6
• February: Biden +4
• March: Biden +3
• April: TIE
—
🟦 Biden 37% [-1]
🟥 Trump 37% [-2]
🟨 RFK Jr 16% [+3]
🟩 Stein 4% [-1]
🟨 West 3% [=]
—
Biden
🟢 Approve 35% [-2]
🔴 Disapprove 61%

📊 2024 GE: Bloomberg/Morning Consult

NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 51% (+10)
🟦 Biden 41%
.
WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump 48% (+4)
🟦 Biden 44%
.
NEVADA
🟥 Trump 51% (+8)
🟦 Biden 43%
.
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump 49% (+7)
🟦 Biden 42%
.
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump 49% (+6)
🟦 Biden 43%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump

🇺🇲 2024 GE: YouGov/Economist
[+/- change vs April 14-16]

🟦 Biden 43% [-1]
🟥 Trump 43% [-1]
🟨 RFK Jr 3%

• 18-29 y/o: Biden 49-27%
• White: Trump 50-38%
• Black: Biden 69-11%
• Hispanic: Biden 51-38%
——
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM 44% [+1]
🟥 GOP 42% [-1]

• 18-29 y/o: Dem

Morning Consult: Most popular Governors (Q1-2024)

Approve-Disapprove

1. Scott (R-VT): 81-16 (+65)

2. Gordon (R-WY): 71-23 (+48)

3. Sununu (R-NH): 66-30 (+36)

4. Moore (D-MD): 60-24 (+36)

5. Beshear (D-KY): 65-30 (+35)

6. Ivey (R-AL): 64-30 (+34)

7. Green (D-HI): 61-28

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Morning Consult

🟦 Biden 44% [+2]
🟥 Trump 43% [+1]
🟪 Other 8% [-2]

[+/- change vs April 15-17]
—
April 19-21: 🔵 Biden +1
April 15-17: TIE
April 12-14: 🔴 Trump+2

538: #116 (1.8/3.0) | 9,791 RV | 4/19-21
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/2024-…

📊 North Carolina GE: Meredith College

🟥 Trump 41%
🟦 Biden 39%
🟨 RFK Jr 9%
🟪 Other 4%
⬜ Undecided 7%
—
Governor
🟦 Stein 45%
🟥 Robinson 36%
🟪 Other 4%
⬜ Undecided 15%
—
538: #146 (1.3/3.0) | 4/11-17 | 801 RV
c7p4g5i9.rocketcdn.me/wp-content/upl…

📊 North Carolina Governor: Meredith College

🟦 Stein 45%
🟥 Robinson 36%
🟪 Other 4%

Unaffiliated voters
🟦 Stein 43%
🟥 Robinson 27%
🟪 Other 7%

January poll: Stein +4

538: #146 (1.3/3.0) | 4/11/17 | 801 RV
c7p4g5i9.rocketcdn.me/wp-content/upl…

📊 RCP POLLING AVERAGE: ARIZONA

🟥 Trump 49% (+4.5)
🟦 Biden 44.5%
.
🟥 Trump 42.8% (+5.8)
🟦 Biden 37%
🟨 RFK Jr 10.5%
🟨 West 1.8%
🟩 Stein 1.3%
—
April 22, 2020
RCP: 🟦 Biden +4.4
538: 🟦 Biden +3.5
—
@polymarket odds
🟥 Trump 52% (+4)
🟦 Biden 48%
—
polymarket.com/event/arizona-…

NPR/Marist: President Biden Job Approval

Approve 45% [+6]
Disapprove 51% [-2]

Biden's highest approval since June 2023

[+/- change vs February 1]
—
Among definitely voting (n=822)

Approve 48%
Disapprove 50%

538: #6 (2.9/3.0) | 4/16-18 | 1,047 RV

📊 NATIONAL POLL: NPR/Marist

🟦 Biden 51% [+1]
🟥 Trump 48% [=]
.
🟦 Biden 43% [=]
🟥 Trump 38% [-3]
🟨 RFK Jr 14% [+3]
🟨 West 2% [+1]
🟩 Stein 2% [=]

[+/- change vs March 25-28]
—
Definitely voting
H2H: Biden+6
5 way: Biden+7
—
538: #6 (2.9/3.0) | 4/16-18 | 1,047 RV

📊 NATIONAL POLL: NPR/Marist

🟦 Biden 51% (+3)
🟥 Trump 48%

Definitely voting
🟦 Biden 53% (+6)
🟥 Trump 47%

• Suburban voters: Biden 58-41%
• March poll: Biden 50-48%
• January poll: Biden 49-48%
—
🟦 Biden 43% (+5)
🟥 Trump 38%
🟨 RFK Jr 14%
🟨 West 2%
🟩 Stein 2%

📊 New York GE: SienaResearch

🟦 Biden 47% [-1]
🟥 Trump 37% [+1]
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM 49% [=]
🟥 GOP 36% [+2]

[+/- change vs February]
—
Job approval
Gov. Hochul: 45-49 (-4)
Pres. Biden: 45-55 (-10)
—
538: #1 (3.0/3.0) | 4/15-17 | 806 RV | ±4.1%
scri.siena.edu/wp-content/upl…

📊 NBC News Poll: Presidential Election

Voted in 2020 & 2022: 🔵 Biden +9

Didn't vote in either: 🔴 Trump+22
—
'Very interested in election'

• April 2024 — 64% (an all-time low)

• July 2020 — 77%

• May 2016 — 69%

• April 2012 — 67%

• April 2008 — 74%

NBC POLL: Do you consider any one issue so important that you would vote for or against a candidate solely on that basis?

1. Protecting Democracy 28%
2. Immigration/border security 20%
3. Abortion 19%
4. Guns 10%
5. Health care 8%
6. SSA and Medicare 7%
7. Israel/Hamas war 7%
8.

NBC Poll: [when the field expands to include third-party candidates]

Will vote for RFK Jr

15% of Trump supporters
7% of Biden supporters
—
RFK Jr (Favorable/unfavorable)

Republicans: 40-15 (+25)
Democrats: 16-53 (-37)
—
🇺🇲 GE: H2H - Trump+2
🇺🇲 GE: 5 way - Biden +2
—

📊 NATIONAL POLL: NBC NEWS

🟥 Trump 46% [-1]
🟦 Biden 44% [+2]
—
Generic Ballot
🟥 GOP 47% [-2]
🟦 DEM 46% [+1]

[+/- change vs January 26-30]
——
🟦 Biden 39%
🟥 Trump 37%
🟨 RFK Jr 13%
🟩 Stein 3%
🟨 West 2%
—
Most important issues

• Inflation 23%
• Immigration 22%
•