Excellent piece by Dov Zakeim: Campus riots undermine the Palestinian cause, but Netanyahu’s allies undermine Israel’s thehill.com/opinion/intern…

Les nombreux et vastes drapeaux masquent imparfaitement le manque de figurants

Actually, no praise is intended. I tend to agree with your point about the potential blowback, ie the US being seen as having sole responsibility for the situation.

In 1939, 🇹🇷 concluded a mutual assistance treaty with 🇬🇧+🇫🇷 (this explains the timing of the transfer of the then 'sanjak of Alexandretta' from French-mandate Syria to 🇹🇷). After 🇫🇷 defeat, a neutral 🇹🇷 used an escape clause in the treaty, & moved closer to Germany for a time

I sadly have to endorse this analysis.

Also, keep in mind that out of the approximately 500 AURs of current IRIS-T production capacity, only a portion is going directly to Ukraine.

Diehl Defence has significant export contracts to fulfill, similar to Raytheon with Patriot.

Rising US pressure. A broader point: like it or not, effectively or not, the US is the only great power to be seriously invested in events in Gaza, not China, not Russia, not the EU

Guerre d'Ukraine | 04/05/24

Vue d'ensemble sur l'axe Avdiivka | Bakhmut-Chasiv Yar

#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine

That's the one: 🇫🇷, April 1940. 2 months later, the Wehrmacht had reached the Spanish border...The poster was right & Hitler knew it. So he sought a quick victory. Then, the Brits derailled the time-table. The rest is history. Strategy is less about being right than about timing

And the time for the long-lead economic correlation of forces to play out...

Such calculations were made in early WW2 (eg the famous 'nous vaincrons parce que nous sommes les plus forts' poster of April 1940 Paris; or Yamamoto's thoughts when planning Pearl Harbor strike). They turned out to be perfectly accurate. They didn't deter the Axis powers...

Indeed

Indeed

In France, we call such folks 'islamogauchistes'

SITREP 🇺🇦 DAY 802

Easter

- 1 Su-25 down, 23/24 Shahed down, 1 Kh-59/-69 down /5 missiles

I just spent a week in Beijing, for the first time in many years. A few thoughts. The war in Ukraine is creating huge strains in China's relations with the US and the EU. This is because the war has pushed China into closer alignment with Russia, Iran and DPRK. /1 CER

1/2 Guerre d'Ukraine | 04/05/24

Secteurs :
🌐 Kupiansk-Kyslivka🔹U240504-0922
🌐 Bakhmut-Chasiv Yar🔹U240504-0925
🌐 Avdiivka-Ocheretyne🔹U240504-0934
🌐 Pervomaiske-Krasnohorivka🔹U240504-0941

#UkraineRussianWar #GuerreEnUkraine

Interesting. Russia is violating the CWC by using riot control agents in combat - in this case, chloropicrin AKA tear gas - and not one of the CW agents declared by Russia under the CWC (e.g., VX, sarin, soman, mustard, lewisite).

emergency.cdc.gov/agent/riotcont…

nonproliferation.org/wp-content/upl…

François Heisbourg Sébastien Lecornu jean-do merchet OpexNews Et ne pas croire que nos 8 sections sont toutes disponibles tout le temps. Et elles doivent servir pour nos opérations, l'entraînement des FAS et la protection des BAVN, la formation, l'expérimentation etc...
La question ferait sens si le SAMP NG était en cours de livraison

A weird choice of words by David Cameron. Raises the issue: what exactly are NATO forces supposed to do or not do if Russian troops break through? #Wallflowers

Not a minute too early