Eurasia Group
@EurasiaGroup
The geopolitical risk firm that helps you understand the world. Founded by @ianbremmer. Putting politics first for 25 years.
ID:44706837
http://www.eurasiagroup.net 04-06-2009 20:09:04
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Friendly reminder of #5 on our #TopRisks2024 :
Axis of Rogues: Russia, North Korea, and Iran.
GZERO Media
gzeromedia.com/news/watching/…
The economies of Haiti and the Dominican Republic were comparable in the mid-20th century – but not anymore.
The Dominican economy gradually improved, but Haiti’s has deteriorated amidst political instability.
#GraphicTruth via GZERO Media: gzeromedia.com/gzero-north/th…
Aides to Pres. Macron insisted his Sorbonne speech was not a campaign stop for his party.
Still, our expert Mujtaba Rahman says if there is a 15-point gap on June 9, it will be seen as a major defeat for Macronism.
Roger Cohen Aurélien Breeden
nytimes.com/2024/04/25/wor…
Campus protests are a preview of what could come on the streets of Chicago for the DNC, creating an opening for Trump to double down on his message that it is Biden who is the 'chaos candidate,' says
Eurasia Group's Jon Lieber 🇺🇸.
US Politics #In60Seconds
Microsoft recently announced that it would invest in G42, a leading AI holding company based in Abu Dhabi.
Our expert Alexis Serfaty says there’s no question the investment was made to try and box out Chinese investment.
GZERO Media
gzeromedia.com/gzero-ai/biden…
The influx of American aid will have an immediate impact on the battlefield, but it won’t be enough for Ukraine to turn the tide of the war.
ian bremmer’s latest for GZERO Media:
gzeromedia.com/by-ian-bremmer…
Very honored to have been invited by the BBC News (UK) to discuss perceptions in Washington surrounding the significance of the recently passed 🇺🇸 aid for 🇺🇦 & how this critical development is likely to impact 🇺🇦’s military capabilities in 2024. #UkraineWar BBC News (World) 👇 Eurasia Group
The US and China are engaging more with each other – but that doesn’t mean they actually trust each other more.
ian bremmer says the trend for this year has been more engagement, more communications, but not more trust.
businessinsider.com/us-china-relat…
“Armenia is at the top of the list in terms of Moscow maintaining its influence in the South Caucasus,” says our expert Tinatin Japaridze.
“But, in terms of the influence, it is certainly dwindling.”
GZERO Media
gzeromedia.com/news/analysis/…
What will China do about the TikTok ban?
Instead of a tit-for-tat approach, our experts expect Beijing to focus on building a fortress economy that’s insulated from US containment efforts.
GZERO Media
gzeromedia.com/news/watching/…
Thousands are protesting in Tbilisi against the ruling Georgian Dream's Moscow-inspired 'foreign agent' bill.
Our expert Tinatin Japaridze joins Terrell Jermaine Starr 🇺🇦🌻🇵🇸✊🏾🇬🇪 to discuss the bill and the geopolitical implications at stake: terrellstarr.substack.com/p/why-georgian…
What we’re watching via GZERO North:
➡️ Why Canada will mimic America’s TikTok dance
➡️ Campus activism in North America
➡️ Stanley Cup dreams
➡️ Honda shifts EV race up a gear
Get the details from GZERO Media: gzeromedia.com/gzero-north/wh…
The US economy expanded by just 1.6% in the first quarter of the year.
Core inflation rose 3.7%, higher than economists’ expectations, limiting the scope for any near-term rate cuts.
#HardNumbers from GZERO Media: gzeromedia.com/news/hard-numb…
Legal challenges for the TikTok ban could drag on for a long time – but what if TikTok doesn’t prevail?
Our expert Dominic Chiu says Chinese leadership is likely still debating, as Pres. Xi will have to signoff on whether to permit or prohibit the sale.
whec.com/national-world…
More engagement and more communications do not equal more trust between US-China.
ian bremmer explains that the escalations are now more targeted and calibrated, so we can say the US-China relationship is getting worse, just slowly.
bloomberg.com/news/videos/20…
“From North Korea’s perspective, if all they have to do is bat their eyelashes at another suitor for China to roll out the diplomatic red carpet, that seems like a well they can go back to with Iran,” says our expert @Jchanalytics.
GZERO Media
gzeromedia.com/news/watching/…
'The ideas themselves are gaining more traction' in European capitals, says our expert Mujtaba Rahman after Macron’s speech pushing for a stronger Europe.
'The fact that Macron is the messenger often works to his disadvantage.”
Roger Cohen Aurélien Breeden
nytimes.com/2024/04/25/wor…