My Seat Model:

LAB: 25 (+7)
PLC: 4 (+2)
LDM: 1 (+1)
CON: 2 (-10)

Changes w/ GE2019 Notionals.

Labour leads by 22% in Wales.

Highest Reform and Plaid %'s in our polling.

Wales Westminster VI (22-23 Apr):

Labour 40% (-9)
Conservatives 18% (+2)
Reform UK 18% (+3)
Plaid 14% (+4)
Lib Dem 6% (+1)
Green 4% (-1)
Other 0% (-1)

Changes +/- 23-24 Mar

redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-welsh-w…

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 43% (=)
CON: 27% (+2)
RFM: 10% (+1)
LDM: 9% (-1)
GRN: 4% (=)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via Savanta UK, 19-21 Apr.
Changes w/ 12-14 Apr.

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 43% (-2)
CON: 27% (+2)
RFM: 12% (+1)
LDM: 9% (=)
GRN: 5% (=)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via Deltapoll, 19-22 Apr.
Changes w/ 12-15 Apr.

Lowest Conservative % since Sunak became PM.

One point above their lowest under Truss.

Westminster VI (21 April):

Labour 43% (-1)
Conservative 20% (-2)
Reform 14% (-1)
Liberal Democrat 12% (+3)
Green 6% (–)
SNP 3% (–)
Other 1% (–)

Changes +/- 14 April

redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/latest-gb-voti…

Credit to Savanta for responding to this quickly.

The new Figures are as follows:

Parker (LAB): 41% (+1)
Street (CON): 38% (-11)
Williams (RFM): 6% (+4)
Virk (LDM): 5% (+1)
Harper-Nunes (GRN): 5% (-1)
Yakoob (IND): 5% (New)

twitter.com/Savanta_UK/sta…

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 41% (=)
CON: 25% (=)
RFM: 13% (+2)
LDM: 10% (=)
GRN: 7% (-1)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via Opinium, 17-19 Apr.
Changes w/ 3-5 Apr.

Ben Houchen and Chris McEwan are tied in Tees Valley.

Tees Valley Mayoral Election VI (17-19 April):

Ben Houchen, Conservative 47% (-26)
Chris McEwan, Labour 47% (+20)
Simon Thorley, Liberal Democrat 6% (New)

Changes +/- 2021 Election Party Vote %

redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/tees-valley-ma…

In 2021, Ben Houchen won the Tees Valley Mayoral Election with 73% of the vote.

This week, we polled voters in Tees Valley about the upcoming Mayoral Election on May 2.

Where will things stand?

Follow us Redfield & Wilton Strategies to see the results of our poll at 11 am!

🚨 || The Scottish Green Party are set to hold a binding vote amongst members within 4 weeks on whether or not to continue in government with the SNP.

Source: bbc.co.uk/news/articles/…

Tees Valley? More like Tease Valley... 😏

😮 Tomorrow
🤏 11am
➡️ Redfield & Wilton Strategies

Very intrigued by the person in Massachusetts who recently purchased a 2021 Scottish Parliament election poster.

London Mayoral Voting Intention:

Khan (LAB): 46% (-3)
Hall (CON): 27% (+3)
Garbett (GRN): 9% (=)
Blackie (LRM): 8% (=)
Cox (RFM): 6% (-1)
Others: 4% (=)

Via YouGov, 9-17 Apr.
Changes w/ 12-19 Feb.

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 43% (-1)
CON: 26% (+2)
RFM: 11% (=)
LDM: 9% (=)
GRN: 7% (+1)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via WeThink, 18-19 Apr.
Changes w/ 11-12 Apr.

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 45% (+1)
CON: 22% (-1)
RFM: 13% (+1)
GRN: 5% (=)
LDM: 9% (-1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via Techne UK, 17-18 Apr.
Changes w/ 10-11 Apr.

Ely West (East Cambridgeshire) Council By-Election Result:

🔶 LDM: 47.9% (+10.6)
🌳 CON: 32.3% (+10.3)
🌹 LAB: 19.8% (-2.7)

No GRN (-10.6) or IND (-7.5) as previous.

Liberal Democrat HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.

Farnham Castle (Waverley) Council By-Election Result:

🏘️ FR: 32.5% (-17.6)
🔶 LDM: 29.6% (New)
🌹 LAB: 23.0% (-11.7)
🌳 CON: 14.9% (-0.2)

Farnham Residents HOLD.
Changes w/ 2023.

Westminster Voting Intention:

LAB: 44% (-1)
CON: 21% (+2)
RFM: 14% (-1)
LDM: 8% (=)
GRN: 8% (+1)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via YouGov, 16-17 Apr.
Changes w/ 10-11 Apr.