David Santoro Ralph A. Cossa Elbridge Colby 1 of many very serious consequences:

First island chain basically crumbles.

Containing the PLAN then becomes at least twice as difficult. Taiwan becomes an unsinkable PRC aircraft carrier. The PLA's advanced A2/AD weapons then get deployed on the island. PLAN ships then based…

This also applies to Australia.

3% should be the minimum for a key 'in theater' ally like Australia.

We're no longer in the Cold War (or unipolar moment) with the US Navy basically ruling the waves of the Pacific unchallenged b/c the Soviets were focused on the Atlantic and…

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Good piece by ⁦Elbridge Colby⁩ and ⁦Jennifer Lind⁩ Japan must disavow pacifism and embrace collective defense asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Japan-…

David Santoro Elbridge Colby Ralph A. Cossa Much more needs to be said about this because almost no one understands, and they need to or they won't support war with China.

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The best thing Japan can do is make it more tenable for Americans to play a leading role?

A couple of ideas:

Spend 3% of GDP to match China’s awing military buildup.

Urge - demand! - America focus on Asia.

Less flowery language and patting ourselves on the back.

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Elbridge Colby

Swiss Shepherd🐕 Would love to see this same energy from NAFO going after the Western European nations like France who have barely contributed. Instead they only attack the U.S., who has given $46 billion and stations more troops in Europe than many EU nations have in their entire militaries.

Elbridge Colby The Big Stick Here's the link to the full episode for those interested:

youtube.com/watch?v=WkB5fi…

Elbridge Colby The Big Stick As always a great talk. I really appreciate the effort you put into reaching out to the public about these issues.

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⚠️⚠️⚠️🇺🇸🌊 Elbridge Colby #SSN #USNavy #VACLASS #AUKUS

'Under the USN’s FY2024 30-year (FY2024-FY2053) shipbuilding plan the SSN force would reach a minimum of 46 boats in FY2030 and grow to 60, 69, or 63 boats by FY2053.'

Elbridge Colby 'However, the USN’s fleet of SSNs could be reduced by up to 10% in the early-2030s should approval be given by the US Congress for the sales of three Virginia-class SSNs to Australia under the AUKUS SSN programme, with a further two boats on option.'

Elbridge Colby…

Elbridge Colby cnn.com/2023/07/12/pol…

Elbridge Colby news.usni.org/2024/04/09/auk…

'The Navy has 49 nuclear-powered attack submarines in the fleet against a requirement of 66.'

'The two shipyards are delivering 1.3 boats annually. The Navy’s budget request for Fiscal Year 2025 only calls for one new Virginia hull.'

The results speak for themselves: while West German pacifism would have meant Soviet domination of Europe, West Germany's strong and responsible engagement in collective defense helped deter war and bring the Cold War to a peaceful and positive conclusion.

Today, the two…

Furthermore, today is not like during the Cold War; contemporary Japan sits on the front lines of the threat. If Tokyo is unwilling to shoulder more responsibility, Americans might reasonably wonder why they are supposed to care and risk more on protecting Japan than the Japanese…

With its formidable air, naval, missile, space and cyber forces, China's People's Liberation Army now presents a very real threat: to Japan's own territory, to Taiwan and to the American security presence in the region, all of profound concern to Japan. And if current trends are…