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Eagleton Institute of Politics

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The Eagleton Institute explores state and national politics through research, education, and public service, linking the study of politics with its practice.

calendar_today08-01-2013 20:58:40

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28 governors were running for re-election this year. 26 of them have been re-elected (this will likely change to 27 once the election is called),

The incumbency advantage for governors is getting stronger, said Kris Shields Eagleton Center on the American Governor

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Next up is Ashley Koning, Director of RutgersEagleton Poll.

Challenges facing the polling industry:
- Response rates are in the low-single digits

- Pre-election polls are trying to figure out who is going to turn out to vote, which is a difficult task

- Polling is expensive

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This results in:

- Decrease in credible polls

- Influx in partisan and internal campaign polling

-Influx in 'junk' polling

- Drought in polling in battleground states or districts

RutgersEagleton Poll

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'We should embrace the uncertainty that comes with polling. It's the best tool that we have. We need to use them to understand the 'how' and the 'why,' and not to predict.' - Ashley Koning RutgersEagleton Poll

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.Saladin Ambar, Eagleton Professor & Eagleton Center on the American Governor Senior Scholar, 'We are in a tremendous period of political destabilization, and this election, we had to see if we could find a way to embrace winning together as a nation.'

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Audience question: Why continue pre-election polling?

Answer from Ashley Koning RutgersEagleton Poll: It's the best tool we have, but we have to treat it differently. We have to use it to explain the 'how' and 'why.'

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.Kelly Dittmar explaining how affects women candidates.

Check out CAWP's Redistricting Effects on Women Congressional Incumbents Tracker: cawp.rutgers.edu/redistricting-…

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