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themoscowtimes.com/2024/05/15/as-…

When you start your після Перемоги plans too early.

I want Ukraine to win. I am v opposed to some things happening in UA atm (military press-ganging, govt powergrabs, hollowing workers rights)

The latter doesn’t impact the former & nor shld the former impact honesty abt the latter.
As ever Orwell describes such dilemmas so well

Economist Andrey Belousov appointed on a MoD. What does it say? A quick🧵
- Putin's priority is war; war of attrition is won by economics. Belousov is in favor of stimulating demand from the budget, which means that military spending will at least not decrease but rather increase

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'The outlook in Ukraine is bleak,' Jack writes. He says if allies can replenish ammo, 'help to establish a robust training pipeline' and make industrial investments to sustain this then Ukr can get 'breathing space it needs to regain the initiative.' rusi.org/explore-our-re…

Sobering picture from Jack Watling. Russia's offensive will stretch Ukr all along the front, with a main push in Donbas. 'Russia’s aim is not to achieve a grand breakthrough, but rather to convince Ukraine that it can keep up an inexorable advance' rusi.org/explore-our-re…

THE DEAL THAT NEVER WAS – PART 2/2

I have previously gone over why there was no chance of a Ukrainian-Russian deal in spring 2022. Today, I will try to answer some of your questions about the 'Polish perspective'. This is how and why we know what we know

Two days later, Russia gives Ukraine another version of the treaty. This one has a note on the front page saying that Putin received the document on Apr15. It includes renewed Russian demands on Ukrainian domestic policy, on which the Russian delegation previously conceded

After the liberation of Bucha and the discovery of the Russian crimes, further talks with Russia are pointless. Zelensky has to face up to Ukrainian public opinion. But the Ukrainian delegation keeps the discussion going to see if the Russian position would change. It will not

Remember when I pointed out the methodological flaws in Sergey Radchenko and Samuel Charap's article on the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations? Jakub Kumoch 古天卫, the former secretary of state in the Polish presidential administration, gave an interview and shed some light on the matter.🧵

Rather consistent with the Russian military elite's criticisms and recommendations: need for innovation, rationalization, domestic production and high tech research, better use of civilian-sector SMEs etc. ifri.org/en/publication…

Jade McGlynn Oh, Jade McGlynn don’t even…
I remember my last sunset in StarySaltiv in the late August 2021, after visiting the one of the most progressive milk-farm recently established by a progressive lady, and the abandoned airfield nearby #Vovchansk
One of the best moments in my life

Succint description of one of the key takeaways of the reshuffles. I'd also argue these reshuffles show a further blurring of the line between what is deemed as civillian and military in purpose. The civil and military becomes more intertwined to fit a model of warfighting

As noted by Farida Rustamova new defence minister is an economist.
I’d add that Belousov is the one who repeatedly argued for more government control over the economy.
The bottom line - Putin sees the victory not in war tactics but in steady production of shells and etc

bbc.co.uk/news/articles/…

So pleased they make toys for Thomas the Tank Engine superfan mummies. The kids can find their own toys 🧸