Greg R. Lawson (@conservawonk) 's Twitter Profile
Greg R. Lawson

@conservawonk

Geopolitical Analyst | Strategy, Realpolitik, AI, Nukes, Tech | History Buff (Rome → Cold War) | Nixon/Kissinger Enthusiast | Skeptical of Utopia | Views My Own

ID: 17351088

linkhttps://gregrlawson.substack.com/ calendar_today12-11-2008 22:54:00

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Pride growth before a fall... Unfortunately for Emperor Valens he didn't believe that, thus his pride led to a battle that likely sped the decline of the Western Roman Empire as he became the first Roman emperor to die in battle. A good 🧵 on the decisive battle.

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We need to fix this or we won't win the Tech Cold War with China in the long run. financialpost.com/pmn/business-p… Excerpt, "The biggest US grid has no spare supply for new data centers, meaning project developers will need to start building their own power plants, according to the

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We face two big problems in the Tech Cold War with China. One, China seems better at diffusion of AI, though not at the absolute bleeding edge of innovation, & they are ahead on energy production. We need to improve both.

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Unfortunately, the reality this Brussels Signal from Anthony J. Constantini piece highlights is true. America & Europe are going to have to learn to deal again in the real world of grimy gray geopolitics, not black & white legalisms. brusselssignal.eu/2025/08/yes-bo… Excerpt, "Modern Europe’s

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The US should seek to fix the ties that have recently been fraud between India & the US. It is not in America's interest to become antagonistic with India at the same time the China challenge continues to grow. Foreign Affairs foreignaffairs.com/india/shocking…

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This would not be a bad outcome for US interests which is what a US President is meant to defend without conflating the interests of others with its own. NationalSecurityJournal.org nationalsecurityjournal.org/putin-might-pi… This could be similar to the beginning of Russia becoming a triangulating pivot

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China gets this problem & is diligently working on it to build out the energy infrastructure, both generation & transmission, to win the AI & Tech Cold War with us. RealClearEnergy RealClearEnergy realclearenergy.org/articles/2025/… The Trump Administration is doing a lot get this right, but it

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A solid The American Conservative piece from Brandon Weichert. I agree with him. Echoes what I wrote for National Interest & The Hill over a decade ago. nationalinterest.org/commentary/avo… thehill.com/blogs/pundits-… theamericanconservative.com/preparing-for-… Excerpts, "In today’s world, land-based trading routes across Eurasia

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The Trump Administration has made necessary first steps towards keeping America at the innovative edge of AI development & deployment. This is going to be essential as this Law & Liberty makes clear. lawliberty.org/americas-bet-o… Excerpt, "Taken together, the three executive orders

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This is an interesting piece by Peter Frankopan. This paints a coherent picture of Trump strategy. I am not sure it's right. But if it is, I would be concerned. BRICS is a challenge, but it seems dangerous to put so much pressure on key players that it incentivizes them to

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Good National Interest piece on ranking the most powerful empires in history. Of course, as is the nature of history this side of Heaven, they all ultimately faded or collapsed. nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/5-mo… I am reminded of Kissinger when making this observation, "As a historian,

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The blow concerns from Max Abrahms are entirely legitimate. Indeed, I have written extensively on what our grand strategy should be. theamericanconservative.com/its-time-for-a… eurasiareview.com/13052016-the-i… First term Trump was moving in that direction & he spoke during the 2024 campaign in ways

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This observation is correct by Andrew A. Michta. It's one of the big reasons, the US should offload the main responsibility to Europe & hard pivot to Asia to balance China. The US confronts a growing debt where interest in that debt now costs more than defense, an atrophied